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#LyX 2.1 created this file. For more info see http://www.lyx.org/
\lyxformat 474
\begin_document
\begin_header
\textclass article
\begin_preamble
\usepackage[T1]{fontenc}
\usepackage[tracking]{microtype}
\usepackage[sc,osf]{mathpazo} % With old-style figures and real smallcaps.
\linespread{1.025} % Palatino leads a little more leading
% Euler for math and numbers
% \usepackage[euler-digits,small]{eulervm}
\usepackage{eulervm}
\end_preamble
\use_default_options false
\begin_modules
theorems-ams-bytype
theorems-ams-extended-bytype
\end_modules
\maintain_unincluded_children false
\language english
\language_package none
\inputencoding utf8
\fontencoding default
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\cite_engine_type default
\biblio_style plain
\use_bibtopic false
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\index Index
\shortcut idx
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\leftmargin 2.5cm
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\secnumdepth 3
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\end_header
\begin_body
\begin_layout Title
Code Guide
\end_layout
\begin_layout Author
Anthony Lee Zhang
\end_layout
\begin_layout Section
Overview
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
The basis of the calibration is to iterate the operator:
\begin_inset Formula
\[
\mathcal{T}\left[\hat{V}\right]=\max_{q}\left(q-\tau\right)p_{\hat{V}\left(\cdot\right),F\left(\cdot\right)}\left(q\right)+\left(1-q\right)\left[\gamma+\delta\mathbb{E}_{G\left(\cdot\mid\cdot\right)}\left[\hat{V}\left(\gamma^{\prime}\right)\mid\gamma\right]\right]
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
on candidate
\begin_inset Formula $\hat{V}\left(\cdot\right)$
\end_inset
functions until convergence, and then characterize the steady state of
this.
We will computationally do this by operating on quantile grids, with a
total of
\begin_inset Formula $qres$
\end_inset
gridpoints.
Any functions of
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma$
\end_inset
, such as
\begin_inset Formula $V\left(\gamma\right),WTP\left(\gamma\right)$
\end_inset
, etc.
will be represented as length
\begin_inset Formula $qres$
\end_inset
vectors, which for code clarity we'll keep together in a data.table.
So, for example, we will have vectors:
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $Fgam=\left[\frac{1}{qres},\frac{2}{qres},\ldots\frac{qres-1}{qres},1\right]$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma=\left[F^{-1}\left(0\right),F^{-1}\left(\frac{1}{qres}\right),\ldots F^{-1}\left(\frac{qres-1}{qres}\right)\right]$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $V\left(\gamma\right)=\left[V\left(F^{-1}\left(0\right)\right),V\left(F^{-1}\left(\frac{1}{qres}\right)\right)\right]$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Section
solve_value_function
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsection
Overview
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
solve_value_function takes as input a data table specifying the quantile
vector
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma$
\end_inset
, and an initial value function guess
\begin_inset Formula $V\left[\cdot\right]$
\end_inset
, as well as parameters such as discount rate/decay rate, and iterates the
\begin_inset Formula $\mathcal{T}$
\end_inset
operator until convergence.
It outputs the equilibrium value function, and some auxiliary information
like equilibrium sale prices and probabilities,
\begin_inset Formula $WTP$
\end_inset
's, etc.
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsection
Inputs
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
solve_value_function begins with a uniformly spaced quantile grid vector.
Supposing we use
\begin_inset Formula $qres$
\end_inset
, this will be:
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
The user specifies a value distribution
\begin_inset Formula $F\left(\cdot\right)$
\end_inset
over use values
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma$
\end_inset
by inputting its quantile vector, as:
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
We will think of everything in terms of
\begin_inset Quotes eld
\end_inset
quantile vectors.
\begin_inset Quotes erd
\end_inset
So, for example,
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma\left[q\right]$
\end_inset
refers to the value of
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma$
\end_inset
at the
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
'th quantile.
We will also need to specify a candidate value function
\begin_inset Formula $\hat{V}\left[q\right]$
\end_inset
to start the Bellman iteration.
These vectors will be given to solve_value_function in a
\begin_inset Formula $qres$
\end_inset
-row data table, with the following columns:
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $Fgam$
\end_inset
: Quantile vector
\begin_inset Formula $\left[\frac{1}{qres},\frac{2}{qres},\ldots\frac{qres-1}{qres},1\right]$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $fgam$
\end_inset
: Density at
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
, by construction equal to
\begin_inset Formula $\frac{1}{qres}$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma$
\end_inset
: Use value at
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
th quantile of
\begin_inset Formula $F$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $V$
\end_inset
: Candidate value function at
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
th quantile
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
In addition, we specify the following parameters:
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $\delta$
\end_inset
: discount rate
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $decay\_rate$
\end_inset
: beta decay parameter
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $beta\_shape$
\end_inset
: beta shape parameter
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $max\_runs$
\end_inset
: max iterations of Bellman operator (never reached in practice)
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $Vtol$
\end_inset
: sup norm tol of Bellman operator
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $quiet$
\end_inset
: whether to print output
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $tau\_try$
\end_inset
: value of tax rate
\begin_inset Formula $\tau$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsection
Outputs
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
The output of solve_value_function appends the following vectors to the
data table:
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $EV$
\end_inset
: Period
\begin_inset Formula $t+1$
\end_inset
expected value
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $WTP$
\end_inset
: Willingness to pay, where we have
\begin_inset Formula $WTP\left[q\right]=\gamma\left[q\right]+\delta EV\left[q\right]$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $V$
\end_inset
: Value function of the
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
th quantile asset owner
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $best\_saleprob$
\end_inset
: optimal sale probability
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $best\_p$
\end_inset
: optimal price, equal to
\begin_inset Formula $WTP\left[1-best\_saleprob\left[q\right]\right]$
\end_inset
(i.e.
willingness to pay of the marginal buyer)
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsection
Details
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsubsection
Continuation value calculation
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
We can implement the decay operator
\begin_inset Formula $\mathbb{E}_{G\left(\cdot\mid\cdot\right)}\left[\hat{V}\left(\gamma^{\prime}\right)\mid\gamma\right]$
\end_inset
as a matrix; since
\begin_inset Formula $G$
\end_inset
is defined in quantile space, this interfaces well with the quantile grid.
In particular, let
\begin_inset Formula $P_{\beta}\left(x\right)$
\end_inset
be the Beta CDF respectively, shape parameters
\begin_inset Formula $C\beta,\ C\left(1-\beta\right)$
\end_inset
.
For given quantile
\begin_inset Formula $q\in\left\{ 1,\ldots,qres\right\} $
\end_inset
, we derive the decay vector:
\begin_inset Formula
\[
y_{\beta,q}=\left[P_{\beta}\left(\frac{1}{q}\right),\ P_{\beta}\left(\frac{2}{q}\right)-P_{\beta}\left(\frac{1}{q}\right),\ldots1-P_{\beta}\left(\frac{q-1}{q}\right),0,0,\ldots0\right]
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
i.e.
a grid approximation to the decay distribution.
Then, conditional on
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
, we can implement the expectation operator numerically as:
\begin_inset Formula
\[
\mathbb{E}_{G\left(\cdot\mid\cdot\right)}\left[\hat{V}\left(F^{-1}\left(q^{\prime}\right)\right)\mid q\right]=y_{\beta,q}\cdot\hat{V}
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
In particular we can stack these decay vectors into a matrix:
\begin_inset Formula
\[
decay\_matrix=\left[\begin{array}{c}
y_{\beta,1}\\
y_{\beta,2}\\
\vdots\\
y_{\beta,1000}
\end{array}\right]=\left[\begin{array}{cccc}
1 & 0 & 0 & \ldots\\
P_{\beta}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right) & 1-P_{\beta}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right) & 0 & \ldots\\
P_{\beta}\left(\frac{1}{3}\right) & P_{\beta}\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)-P_{\beta}\left(\frac{1}{3}\right) & 1-P_{\beta}\left(\frac{2}{3}\right) & \ldots\\
\vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots
\end{array}\right]
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
And this lets us express the
\begin_inset Quotes eld
\end_inset
continuation utility vector
\begin_inset Quotes erd
\end_inset
as a matrix operator:
\begin_inset Formula
\[
E\hat{V}=decay\_matrix\cdot\hat{V}
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsubsection
Maximization
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
Note that we can also derive a WTP vector, which we'll call
\begin_inset Formula $WTP_{\hat{V}}$
\end_inset
, naturally, and an associated inverse demand distribution...
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
For each quantile
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
we can thus evaluate the objective function, as:
\begin_inset Formula
\[
\mathcal{T}\left[\hat{V}\right]\left[q\right]=\max_{q^{\prime}}\left(q^{\prime}-\tau\right)p_{\hat{V}\left(\cdot\right),F\left(\cdot\right)}\left(q^{\prime}\right)+\left(1-q^{\prime}\right)\left[\gamma+\delta\mathbb{E}_{G\left(\cdot\mid\cdot\right)}\left[\hat{V}\left(F^{-1}\left(q^{\prime}\right)\right)\mid q\right]\right]
\]
\end_inset
\begin_inset Formula
\[
=\max_{q^{\prime}}\left(q^{\prime}-\tau\right)WTP_{\hat{V}}\left[q^{\prime}\right]+\left(1-q^{\prime}\right)F^{-1}\left(q\right)+\left(1-q^{\prime}\right)\delta\left(M_{\beta}\hat{V}\right)\left[q\right]
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
Since we can calculate
\begin_inset Formula $M_{\beta}\hat{V}$
\end_inset
, and we know
\begin_inset Formula $WTP_{\hat{V}}$
\end_inset
, this is now a fairly straightforwards maximization problem, so to evaluate
\begin_inset Formula $\mathcal{T}\left[\hat{V}\right]$
\end_inset
we can just loop over all 1000
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
values in each iteration.
Somewhat counterintuitively, it turned out, in my numerical experiments,
that rather than looping, it is actually faster to generate a 1000 x 1000
grid and use a group-by operation with data.table to do all the maximizations
together, so this is the approach I adopt in the code, although it is somewhat
awkward.
\end_layout
\begin_layout Section
solve_steadystate
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
For a given
\begin_inset Formula $\tau$
\end_inset
, the stationary equilibrium defines a Markov process over quantiles
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
.
By solving for the stationary equilibrium of the Markov process, we can
characterize steady-state values, etc.
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsection
Overview
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
The Markov transition process can be decomposed into two steps:
\end_layout
\begin_layout Enumerate
Trade: Quantile
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
sets a saleprob
\begin_inset Formula $q^{*}$
\end_inset
, and sells to all agents with higher values
\end_layout
\begin_layout Enumerate
Decay: Owner's value decays by the Beta decay process
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsection
Inputs
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
Takes as input a data_table output from solve_value_function, that is, with
the columns:
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $Fgam$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $fgam$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $EV$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $WTP$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $V$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $best\_saleprob$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $best\_p$
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
In addition we specify the incidental parameters:
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $decay\_rate$
\end_inset
: Beta decay parameter
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $beta\_shape$
\end_inset
: Beta shape parameter
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $quiet$
\end_inset
: Whether to print output
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $efficient$
\end_inset
: Whether we want equilibrium behavior, or socially efficient behavior (hacky,
always set to 0 for equilibrium)
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsection
Outputs
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
Appends the following rows to the data table:
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $ss$
\end_inset
: Stationary density over
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma$
\end_inset
values of owners
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $val\_ss$
\end_inset
: Stationary density over
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma$
\end_inset
values of users -- slightly different from owners, because if the owner
sells in period
\begin_inset Formula $t$
\end_inset
, we count the
\begin_inset Formula $\gamma$
\end_inset
value of the buyer here.
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $buyer\_dist$
\end_inset
: In steady state, distribution over buyers' quantiles
\end_layout
\begin_layout Itemize
\begin_inset Formula $seller\_dist$
\end_inset
: In steady state, distribution over sellers' quantiles
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsection
Details
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsubsection
Trade
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
Given a quantile
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
and her optimal choice
\begin_inset Formula $q_{q}^{*}$
\end_inset
, transition is uniform from
\begin_inset Formula $q_{q}^{*}$
\end_inset
upwards, so,
\begin_inset Formula
\[
T_{q}=\left[0,\ldots0,\frac{1}{1-q_{q}^{*}},\frac{1}{1-q_{q}^{*}},\ldots\frac{1}{1-q_{q}^{*}}\right]
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
This can be stacked into a matrix:
\begin_inset Formula
\[
tradeprob\_matrix=\left[\begin{array}{ccccc}
0 & \frac{1}{1-q_{1}^{*}} & \frac{1}{1-q_{1}^{*}} & \frac{1}{1-q_{1}^{*}} & \ldots\\
0 & 0 & \frac{1}{1-q_{2}^{*}} & \frac{1}{1-q_{2}^{*}} & \ldots\\
0 & 0 & \frac{1}{1-q_{3}^{*}} & \frac{1}{1-q_{3}^{*}} & \ldots\\
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & \ldots\\
\vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots
\end{array}\right]
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsubsection
Decay
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
Decay matrix is just
\begin_inset Formula $M_{\beta}$
\end_inset
from above:
\begin_inset Formula
\[
decay\_matrix=\left[\begin{array}{c}
y_{\beta,1}\\
y_{\beta,2}\\
\vdots\\
y_{\beta,1000}
\end{array}\right]=\left[\begin{array}{cccc}
1 & 0 & 0 & \ldots\\
P_{\beta}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right) & 1-P_{\beta}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right) & 0 & \ldots\\
P_{\beta}\left(\frac{1}{3}\right) & P_{\beta}\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)-P_{\beta}\left(\frac{1}{3}\right) & 1-P_{\beta}\left(\frac{2}{3}\right) & \ldots\\
\vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots
\end{array}\right]
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Subsubsection
Stationary distribution
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
Now we can get the full transition matrix as:
\begin_inset Formula
\[
M=decay\_matrix\cdot tradeprob\_matrix
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
This is always ergodic.
So we can use a formula from Resnick (Adventures in Stochastic Processes,
pg 138) to get the unique stationary distribution:
\begin_inset Formula
\[
\pi^{\prime}=\left(1,\ldots,1\right)\left(I-M+ONE\right)^{-1}
\]
\end_inset
\end_layout
\begin_layout Standard
The stationary distribution over
\begin_inset Formula $q$
\end_inset
values then allows us to compute all the values of interest.
\end_layout
\end_body
\end_document