diff --git a/post/index.html b/post/index.html new file mode 100644 index 0000000..2f923b7 --- /dev/null +++ b/post/index.html @@ -0,0 +1,951 @@ + + + + + + A Stance on the State of the United States — Natalie Spiva + + + + + + + + + + +
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A Stance on the State of the United States

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+ An honest, evidence-based examination of the structural, financial, and political challenges facing the United States in 2026 — and why acknowledging them is not the same as calling the country bad. These are not just opinions. The receipts are public. You just have to be willing to look. +

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+ Before you read: This post does not call the United States a bad country. It calls it an imperfect one — built on flawed structural foundations that were never corrected, and now running into the hard limits of those flaws at scale. If that reads like criticism, it is. Honest criticism from someone who lives here, pays taxes here, and wants to see it actually improve. The data referenced throughout is publicly available from federal government sources, congressional records, and the Social Security Administration's own trustees' reports. None of this is hidden. It is just rarely discussed plainly. +

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Foundations: Freemasonry and the Architecture of Government

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+ When most people think about the founding of the United States, they think of revolutionary ideals: liberty, self-governance, the rejection of tyranny. What they think about less often is the specific organizational framework the Founders used to structure the government they built — and where that framework came from. The answer is not flattering, but it is documentable. +

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+ A substantial number of the Founding Fathers were Freemasons. George Washington, Benjamin Franklin, James Monroe, Andrew Jackson, James Polk, James Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, James Garfield, William McKinley, Theodore Roosevelt, William Howard Taft, Warren G. Harding, Franklin D. Roosevelt, Harry S. Truman, and Gerald Ford are all documented members of Masonic lodges. This is not a conspiracy theory — it is recorded in Masonic membership rolls and historical biographies. The fact that so many of the men who designed the country's institutions belonged to the same fraternal order with a specific organizational philosophy is directly relevant to understanding the structure they built. +

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+ I came to understand this not through research alone, but through personal experience. I participated in DeMolay International — the youth fraternal organization directly affiliated with Freemasonry — and as a result interacted with practicing Masons at least once a week for years. I watched how the lodges functioned, how decisions were made, how authority was structured and transmitted. When I later looked at how the federal government is organized, the resemblance was not subtle. +

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The Structural Overlap

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+ A Masonic lodge has a Worshipful Master (the principal executive), a Senior Warden (secondary executive), and a Junior Warden (tertiary executive). Below them are a Secretary, a Treasurer, a Chaplain, a Senior Deacon, a Junior Deacon, and various other supporting roles that make the chapter function operationally. Now look at the U.S. federal government: a President, a Vice President, a Speaker of the House. Below them, Secretaries of various departments, a Treasurer, a Chaplain in both the Senate and the House (who opens sessions with prayer — on live television, regularly). The structural mirroring is precise enough to be intentional. +

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+ Both institutions use formalized, memorized oaths of office. Both have a ritual dimension — the lodge's "degrees" and "ritual work" are echoed in the formal ceremonies of swearing-in, the procedural rules of order, the symbolic use of the Capitol building itself (which contains Masonic cornerstone ceremonies in its history). The Capitol's architect, William Thornton, and the ceremony of laying its cornerstone in 1793 were both explicitly Masonic. George Washington performed the ceremony in full Masonic regalia. +

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Documented Masonic Influence on Federal Structure
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Cornerstones: The U.S. Capitol, the Washington Monument, and the White House cornerstone ceremonies were all conducted with Masonic ritual, presided over by Masonic lodges, with Masonic tools and symbols used publicly.

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Street Layout: The L'Enfant plan for Washington, D.C. contains geometric patterns — pentagrams, compass and square angles — that correspond to Masonic sacred geometry. This is debated in degree, but the fundamental overlay is visible in basic maps of the city.

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Currency: The reverse of the Great Seal of the United States (printed on the $1 bill since 1935 under FDR, himself a Mason) features the Eye of Providence above an unfinished pyramid — iconography directly associated with Freemasonry, though the Seal predates its placement on the bill.

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Oaths: Presidential and congressional oaths follow structural patterns closely related to Masonic obligation oaths — public affirmations of loyalty to a set of governing principles, administered by a superior officer, often on a sacred text.

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DeMolay, Religion, and the Embedded Assumption

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+ DeMolay International requires, as a condition of membership, that a young man believe in a Supreme Being. The organization is officially non-sectarian in that it does not require membership in any specific religion — but it does require monotheism as a baseline. Atheists, polytheists, and those whose spiritual framework does not center a single personal deity are, by policy, excluded. This was the rule in 2022 when I was involved, and while some chapters have softened their enforcement of it, it has not been formally removed from the organization's foundational requirements. +

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+ This matters because of what it implies about the institutions modeled on this framework. If the organizational blueprint for the U.S. government was drawn from an institution that treats monotheistic belief as a baseline requirement for participation, then the government it produced carries that same embedded assumption — not as a written law (the Constitution explicitly prohibits religious tests for public office), but as a cultural default that shapes everything from who is considered "electable" to which chaplains open which sessions of Congress to how politicians from non-Christian or non-religious backgrounds are perceived and treated by the electorate. +

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+ Back in 2022, what I witnessed within actual Masonic lodges was a culture of corruption and self-dealing that made me examine, with fresh eyes, the systems those lodges had been used to design. That examination is the origin of most of what follows in this essay. +

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+ Freemasonry + DeMolay + Founding Fathers + Structural Design + Washington D.C. + Masonic Ritual +
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A Historical Mirror: The Late Roman Empire

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+ I want to be precise about this comparison, because it is often made lazily and dismissed for being lazy. I am not saying America is Rome. I am not saying a collapse is inevitable or imminent. What I am saying is that the specific pattern of institutional decay that preceded Rome's fragmentation in the late 4th and 5th centuries CE contains enough documented parallels to conditions in the United States in 2026 that the comparison is analytically useful — not as prophecy, but as diagnosis. +

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"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it."

+ — George Santayana, The Life of Reason, 1905 +
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What Actually Brought Rome Down

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+ Historians debate the precise causes of Rome's decline for good reason — it was a process that unfolded over roughly 200 years, not a single event. But the factors that scholars consistently identify include: military overextension and the cost of maintaining a standing army across an empire too large to effectively govern from the center; currency debasement (emperors literally reduced the silver content of coins to fund government spending, causing inflation); a political class more interested in personal enrichment and factional power than in effective governance; the erosion of civic participation as the cost of engaging with the system outweighed the benefit for ordinary citizens; growing wealth inequality between the senatorial class and everyone else; and a tax burden that fell disproportionately on those least able to bear it while the wealthy found ways around it. +

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+ Rome did not fall because barbarians were strong. It fell, at least in part, because the institutions holding it together had been hollowed out by internal rot over generations, until the structure could no longer support its own weight. +

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Late Roman Empire (~300–476 CE)
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  • Currency debasement — reducing silver content in coins to fund government, causing inflation and devaluing savings
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  • Military overextension — empire too large to defend from a single administrative center
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  • Political self-dealing — Senate increasingly insulated from the public it nominally represented
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  • Tax inequality — the senatorial class used exemptions and influence to avoid tax burdens carried by lower classes
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  • Civic disengagement — ordinary citizens increasingly saw participation as futile; bread-and-circuses as management strategy
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  • Infrastructure decay — maintenance of roads, aqueducts, and public works declined as revenue was diverted
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  • Religious and cultural fracture — competing ideological identities made unified political action increasingly difficult
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United States (2026)
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  • Inflation and dollar devaluation — purchasing power erosion through deficit spending and quantitative easing; international de-dollarization discussions accelerating
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  • Military overextension — the U.S. maintains hundreds of military bases across over 70 countries, at extraordinary ongoing cost
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  • Political self-dealing — Congress members consistently leave office with net worths dramatically exceeding their salaries
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  • Tax inequality — effective tax rates for the ultra-wealthy, via capital gains treatment and offshore structures, frequently fall below those of working-class earners
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  • Civic disengagement — voter participation is low relative to peer democracies; most Americans express distrust of government
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  • Infrastructure decline — the American Society of Civil Engineers consistently grades U.S. infrastructure a D+ to C range
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  • Political and cultural fracture — partisan polarization at historic highs; shared civic identity increasingly fragmented
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+ The point is not that these parallels are identical. Context matters. The mechanisms are different, the timeline is different, the global environment is different. But the underlying dynamic — a large, powerful state whose governing class has become structurally separated from the interests of the governed, while ordinary people are too burdened by daily survival to mount effective organized response — is not a coincidence of description. It is a recurring feature of how complex societies decline. +

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+ If anything, the Rome comparison undersells the current situation in one important respect: the United States has nuclear weapons, a global reserve currency (for now), and the most powerful military in human history. That buys time. It does not buy immunity. The question is whether the time is used productively or squandered. +

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The Scale Problem: A Republic That Outgrew Itself

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+ The United States is, in formal terms, a Constitutional Democratic Republic. It is a republic because ultimate sovereignty is vested in elected representatives rather than directly in the people. It is democratic in that those representatives are chosen through democratic elections. It is constitutional in that a written constitution constrains the scope of what any branch of government can do and establishes a framework of individual rights that the majority cannot simply vote away. This is, in theory, an excellent system. In practice, it is a system designed for a country of roughly 4 million people (the 1790 census) that is now being asked to govern a country of 335+ million. +

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The Representation Math Doesn't Work

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+ The House of Representatives was designed so that each member would represent a relatively small, knowable constituency — close enough to the people that accountability was real and direct. The Constitution originally specified one representative per 30,000 constituents. The House grew as the population grew, until 1929, when the Permanent Apportionment Act capped the total number of House members at 435. It has stayed there ever since, even as the population has more than tripled. +

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+ 1:30K + Original Constitutional ratio of citizens per representative +
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+ 1:760K + Current average ratio — over 25× the original design +
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+ 435 + House seats — capped since 1929, never adjusted for population +
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+ 100 + Senate seats — two per state regardless of population +
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+ What this means in practice: a senator from Wyoming represents approximately 580,000 people. A senator from California represents approximately 39 million. Each has one vote in the Senate. That is not democratic representation by any reasonable mathematical definition — it is a structural artifact of the original compromise between large and small states that has never been revisited, and that today gives rural low-population states vastly disproportionate federal power relative to urban high-population ones. +

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England as a Functional Comparison

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+ England in 2026 is a constitutional monarchy with a parliamentary system. The monarch (currently King Charles III) serves a ceremonial and symbolic role — they open Parliament, give royal assent to legislation, and represent the nation in formal diplomatic contexts, but they do not make policy and cannot override Parliament. Real executive power rests with the Prime Minister and Cabinet, who must maintain the confidence of the House of Commons. Members of Parliament represent constituencies of roughly 70,000–90,000 people each — a ratio that allows for meaningful local accountability. +

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+ The British system is far from perfect. But for a nation of 67 million, it functions at a scale where a single MP can realistically know their constituency, hold surgeries (open constituent meetings), respond to local concerns, and be held accountable by voters who can actually name their representative. In the U.S., most Americans cannot name both of their Senators, let alone their House member, let alone any of the hundreds of other elected officials who affect their daily lives. That is not laziness — it is a rational response to a system whose scale makes meaningful individual engagement functionally impossible for most people. +

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How Growth Was Managed

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+ The population of the United States did not grow organically or equitably. The country expanded its territory and labor base through the forced relocation and genocide of Indigenous populations, the transatlantic slave trade (which imported enslaved people as an economic asset), the annexation of Mexican territory, and aggressive immigration policies calibrated to supply cheap labor to industrial expansion. The revenue motive was explicit and primary in nearly every phase of this expansion. The human beings involved in it were treated as inputs, not as citizens whose interests the growing state would need to serve. +

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+ The consequence of this history is a country that is enormous, diverse, and structurally divided in ways that trace directly back to the brutal economics of how it was built. The governing system was never redesigned to account for the reality that resulted. It was patched — the 13th, 14th, and 15th Amendments, the Voting Rights Act, various civil rights legislation — but the core architecture remained the one designed by and for a small class of propertied white men in 1787. Asking that architecture to equitably govern the nation that exists in 2026 is asking it to do something it was never built to do. +

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Representation in Name Only

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+ Let's be direct about what is happening in Congress in 2026: elected officials are, in overwhelming documented majority, using their positions to enrich themselves and their donors. This is not a partisan claim. It is visible in public records that anyone can access. Financial disclosure forms are filed annually and are publicly available. Lobbying registrations are searchable through federal databases. Voting records are public. The pattern they collectively reveal is not ambiguous. +

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The Financial Disclosure Problem

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+ Members of Congress are required to file annual financial disclosure statements listing their assets, income sources, liabilities, and certain transactions. When you review these disclosures over the course of a career, the story is consistent: members enter office with net worths typical of upper-middle-class professionals — maybe a few hundred thousand dollars — and leave, after serving on salaries of $174,000 per year, with net worths in the millions. Some leave with tens of millions. +

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+ The STOCK Act, passed in 2012, was supposed to prohibit congressional members from trading individual stocks based on non-public information they receive through their official duties. In practice, enforcement is minimal, penalties are negligible (fines as low as $200 for late reporting), and compliance is voluntary in the sense that the consequences for non-compliance are rarely meaningful. Multiple studies of congressional stock trading have found that members' portfolios consistently outperform market averages — significantly — particularly in sectors where those members sit on relevant oversight committees. +

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+ $174K + Annual base salary for members of Congress +
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+ $1M–$10M+ + Net worth range for many members after multiple terms in office +
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+ $200 + Minimum fine for STOCK Act violations — often the only consequence +
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+ ~$4.3B + Annual lobbying spend in Washington D.C. (recent estimates) +
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The Lobbying Pipeline

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+ The revolving door between Congress and the lobbying industry is well-documented and legal. Former members of Congress and their staff routinely take lucrative positions at lobbying firms after leaving office, trading on the relationships and institutional knowledge they built while serving the public. Federal law imposes a cooling-off period — one to two years — before former members can directly lobby their former colleagues. It does not prohibit them from taking lobbying-adjacent roles during that period, or from lobbying indefinitely after it expires. +

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+ What this creates is a system where the career incentive for a member of Congress is not to serve constituents well — because constituent satisfaction does not typically translate into a lucrative post-office career. The career incentive is to cultivate relationships with industries and donor classes whose goodwill will be valuable after the member leaves office. Votes and policy positions are, in this context, assets to be managed strategically in the service of future employment, not expressions of the will of the people the member nominally represents. +

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What Passes and What Doesn't

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+ The signature research on this question is a 2014 Princeton study by Martin Gilens and Benjamin Page, which analyzed 1,779 policy outcomes and found that economic elites and organized interest groups had substantial independent influence on U.S. government policy — while average citizens had near-zero independent influence. When the preferences of average Americans diverge from those of economic elites, the policies that get enacted almost exclusively reflect the preferences of the elites. The study's authors described the resulting system not as a democracy, but as an oligarchy. +

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+ This is not a fringe academic position. It is a peer-reviewed finding based on a decade of data. And it describes a condition that has, if anything, intensified since 2014 with the further consolidation of wealth, the expansion of dark money in elections following Citizens United, and the increasing cost of competitive federal campaigns (a competitive Senate race now routinely costs $50–100 million or more). +

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"The central point that emerges from our research is that economic elites and organized groups representing business interests have substantial independent impacts on U.S. government policy, while mass-based interest groups and average citizens have little or no independent influence."

+ — Gilens & Page, Perspectives on Politics, 2014 +
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+ Congress + STOCK Act + Lobbying + Citizens United + Oligarchy + Financial Disclosures +
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The Social Security Time Bomb

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+ Social Security is the most important social insurance program in American history. At its peak, it cut elderly poverty from over 35% to under 10%. It currently provides benefits to over 70 million Americans — retirees, disabled workers, surviving spouses, and dependent children. And it is on a publicly documented, mathematically inevitable path toward a major benefit cut unless Congress acts, which it has shown no serious appetite to do. +

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+ To be precise about the program structure: Social Security is formally OASDI — Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance. It is funded almost entirely (around 97%) through payroll taxes: the 6.2% deducted from every American worker's paycheck (matched by the employer) up to the annual earnings cap, which in 2026 sits around $168,000. Earnings above that cap are not taxed for Social Security purposes at all — meaning a person earning $1 million a year pays the same dollar amount in Social Security taxes as a person earning $168,000. This is, structurally, a regressive tax. +

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How the Trust Fund Works — and Why It's Failing

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+ The Social Security "trust fund" is not a savings account. It is an accounting mechanism. When payroll tax revenues exceed benefit payments, the surplus is credited to the trust fund and invested in special-issue U.S. Treasury bonds — which is a formal way of saying the government borrows the money and spends it on other things, crediting the trust fund with an IOU. When benefit payments exceed revenues (as they have been doing since approximately 2021 due to the retirement of the Baby Boom generation), the trust fund redeems those bonds — meaning the government must find the money through general revenues, borrowing, or cuts. +

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+ The 2024 Social Security Trustees' Report projected that the combined OASDI trust funds would be depleted by 2035 under intermediate assumptions, at which point incoming payroll tax revenues would cover only approximately 83% of scheduled benefits. Some independent analyses, accounting for higher-than-projected inflation and demographic shifts, push the depletion date closer to 2032–2033. +

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+ 70M+ + Americans currently receiving Social Security benefits +
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+ 2034–35 + Projected trust fund depletion (SSA Trustees' Report, 2024) +
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+ 83% + Share of benefits payable from payroll tax income at depletion +
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+ ~$1,907 + Average monthly Social Security retirement benefit (2024) +
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What 83% Actually Means

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+ The average Social Security retirement benefit in 2024 was approximately $1,907 per month. Eighty-three percent of that is roughly $1,583. That $324 reduction may sound manageable in isolation. It is not, because most people relying on Social Security are not supplementing a robust savings portfolio — they are relying on it as their primary or sole income. For those recipients, a 17% cut is the difference between barely covering rent plus food versus not covering them at all. +

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+ Now layer in inflation. If benefits are cut to 83% of their nominal 2034 value, and inflation continues at even a modest 3% annually, the real purchasing power of those benefits continues to erode every year after that. By 2100, a benefit worth 83 cents on today's dollar, reduced further by decades of inflation, is worth something approaching 62 cents on today's dollar in real purchasing power terms. This is not a distant abstraction — people alive today in their 20s and 30s will be in their 70s and 80s in the 2060s and 2070s, receiving benefits that purchase a fraction of what current recipients receive. +

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The Proposed Fixes and Why They Fall Short

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+ Congress has known about this problem for decades. It has produced essentially nothing in response, because the two obvious solutions are politically toxic: raise the payroll tax rate (nobody wants a tax increase) or raise the full retirement age (cuts benefits for everyone who planned around the current schedule). A third option — lifting or eliminating the $168,000 earnings cap so that high earners pay Social Security taxes on their full income — would largely solve the solvency problem on its own, but it faces fierce opposition from the wealthy donor class and their legislative representatives. +

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+ The current legislative proposal circulating in 2026 is to merge the Disability Insurance (DI) trust fund with the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund into a unified account. This would extend the combined solvency date by roughly two to three years. That is not a solution. It is a delay that defers the hard decisions to the next Congress, and the one after that, until the math becomes unavoidable. Separately, there are proposals to replace the current program with some form of universal basic income or flat stipend. These face the same fundamental problem: they require money the government does not have, from a country already running a structural deficit of over $1 trillion per year. +

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Do not plan your retirement around Social Security providing you with what it provides retirees today. The numbers are public. The trajectory is documented. The political will to fix it does not currently exist. Build your own safety net now, while you have time.

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+ OASDI + Trust Fund Depletion + Payroll Tax + Retirement Security + Benefit Cuts + Earnings Cap +
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Capitalism, Inequality, and the Broken Social Contract

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+ Let me be clear upfront: capitalism as an economic system is not inherently evil. Profit incentives drive innovation. Competition allocates resources more efficiently than centralized planning in most contexts. Markets are generally better at determining prices than government committees. These are not controversial points — they are the reasons why market economies have generally outperformed planned economies in material prosperity and technological advancement. I am not arguing for a different economic system. +

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+ What I am arguing is that capitalism, like any system, requires guardrails to prevent its most destructive tendencies from metastasizing into the public sphere. The specific problem in the United States in 2026 is that the people who most benefit from unregulated capitalism have also acquired the political power to prevent those guardrails from being maintained or enforced. The result is a system where private profit is maximized at the direct expense of public goods — and the people paying the difference don't have the political access to do anything about it. +

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Education: Building Workers, Not Citizens

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+ The public school system in the United States produces graduates who are, by international comparison, mediocre at mathematics, science, and critical reasoning, and remarkably skilled at compliance with institutional authority. This is not a coincidence. The people who fund the political campaigns of school board members, state education officials, and federal legislators are, in many cases, the same people who run businesses that need a compliant workforce. Critical thinking, labor organizing history, financial literacy, and civic engagement are systematically underfunded in public curricula in ways that conveniently serve the interests of employers who need workers who follow instructions without questioning the terms. +

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+ Meanwhile, private school and higher education quality has diverged sharply from public school quality in most of the country — creating a two-tier educational system where the children of the wealthy receive rigorous preparation for leadership and agency, while the children of the working class receive preparation for employment. This is not an accident of funding — it is the logical output of a system where the people with the most power over educational policy have the least incentive to improve public education for everyone else. +

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Housing: Manufactured Scarcity

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+ The U.S. housing crisis is not a housing shortage in the purely physical sense — it is a policy-manufactured scarcity. Zoning laws in most major metropolitan areas prohibit the construction of high-density housing in most of the city, restricting it to small zones while protecting single-family neighborhoods from any increase in density. These zoning laws were lobbied into existence and are maintained by existing homeowners whose property values are directly tied to scarcity — and who vote in local elections at much higher rates than renters. The result is that in cities where millions of people want to live and work, it is legally impossible to build enough housing to meet demand. +

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+ In 2024, the median home price in the United States exceeded $400,000. The median household income was approximately $80,000. At a conventional 28% debt-to-income ratio for mortgage qualification, a household earning $80,000 could afford a home priced at roughly $240,000. The math does not work. For renters, the situation is no better: in most major metros, a two-bedroom apartment consumes 40–60% of median household income. The standard financial guidance is that housing should not exceed 30% of income. The practical reality for tens of millions of Americans is that they are already paying twice that recommendation and cannot afford to stop. +

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+ $400K+ + Median U.S. home price (2024) +
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+ $80K + Median U.S. household income (2024) +
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+ 40–60% + Income share consumed by rent in most major metros +
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+ 30% + Maximum housing cost share recommended by financial standards +
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The Ghost Job Problem and Wage Stagnation

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+ The modern job market has developed pathologies that would be bizarre if they weren't so common. Ghost job listings — positions posted to job boards that companies have no current intention of filling, maintained to build a resume pipeline, manage employee expectations ("we can always replace you"), or satisfy internal HR requirements — have become endemic. A 2024 Clarify Capital survey found that roughly 50% of hiring managers had posted a job that they weren't actively trying to fill. Job seekers apply for positions that do not exist, receive automated rejections from ATS (applicant tracking systems) that filter out perfectly qualified candidates based on keyword matching, and increasingly find themselves stuck in a loop of fruitless applications. +

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+ At the same time, real wages for most American workers have been essentially flat for decades when adjusted for inflation. The Economic Policy Institute has documented that while productivity increased by approximately 60% between 1979 and the early 2020s, hourly compensation for typical workers increased by only about 15–17% over the same period. The gap between productivity gains and worker compensation represents a massive transfer of economic value upward — to shareholders and executives — that occurred at precisely the same time that union membership collapsed (from roughly 35% of the workforce in the 1950s to under 10% today), minimum wage policy stagnated, and enforcement of labor protections was systematically defunded. +

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The Dollar's Declining Status and What It Means for You

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+ Since World War II, the U.S. dollar has served as the world's primary reserve currency — the currency in which international trade, oil contracts, and sovereign debt is predominantly denominated. This has given the United States an extraordinary privilege: we can run persistent trade and budget deficits without the immediate currency devaluation that would crush any other country, because global demand for dollars is structural. Every country that buys oil, every country that services dollar-denominated debt, every country that holds foreign exchange reserves needs dollars. +

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+ That privilege is eroding. China and Russia have been conducting bilateral trade in non-dollar currencies for years. The BRICS bloc (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and several new members) has been actively discussing mechanisms for a non-dollar trade settlement system. Saudi Arabia — whose dollar-for-oil arrangement (the petrodollar) has been one of the key pillars of dollar reserve status — has signed agreements to sell oil in other currencies. None of this has yet produced a sudden collapse of dollar dominance. But the direction of travel is clear, and the consequence of even a partial reduction in the dollar's reserve status is that the U.S. government would face much higher borrowing costs, and every American's paycheck would purchase less internationally, as the dollar's global value declined. +

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+ This is not speculation. It is the arithmetic of an empire that has financed its domestic spending through global financial dominance, watching that dominance slowly diminish. +

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+ Wage Stagnation + Housing Crisis + Ghost Jobs + De-dollarization + BRICS + Zoning Reform + Labor Rights +
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Healthcare: Compliance Over Cures

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+ The United States spends more on healthcare per capita than any other country in the developed world — roughly $12,000–$13,000 per person per year, roughly twice what countries like Germany, France, Canada, or the UK spend — and produces health outcomes that are consistently worse by nearly every major metric: life expectancy, infant mortality, maternal mortality, chronic disease rates, and preventable death. This paradox is not a mystery to health economists. The explanation is structural, and it is important to understand precisely how the structure produces the outcomes we see. +

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How Federal Funding Creates Regulatory Control

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+ The majority of U.S. healthcare spending flows through federal programs: Medicare covers Americans over 65 and certain disabled individuals; Medicaid covers low-income individuals and families; the Children's Health Insurance Program covers children in families above Medicaid thresholds. Together, Medicare and Medicaid alone account for roughly 40% of all U.S. healthcare spending. The VA system serves veterans. The Indian Health Service serves Native populations. +

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+ Every hospital, clinic, physician, and pharmacy that accepts Medicare or Medicaid payments — which is virtually every significant healthcare provider in the country, because opting out of these programs means forgoing the majority of the patient population — must comply with an extensive set of conditions established by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), the FDA, the CDC, the HHS, and OSHA, among others. The money comes with conditions. The conditions shape what treatments are offered, how they are documented, what qualifies for reimbursement, and what outcome metrics providers are evaluated on. +

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The Outcomes Problem

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+ "Outcomes" is the healthcare system's primary measurement language. But the definition of a good "outcome" in healthcare administrative and reimbursement frameworks is not "the patient is cured." It is "the patient complied with the prescribed treatment protocol" and "the documented metrics improved." These are not the same thing. +

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+ Consider a patient with Type 2 diabetes. The reimbursable, documentable, "good outcome" model involves the patient taking prescribed medications, attending regular appointments, getting the required blood tests, and having their A1C levels remain within a managed range. This generates consistent billing: recurring office visits, lab work, prescription refills, specialist referrals, and complication management. It is excellent revenue. A patient who reverses their Type 2 diabetes through diet and exercise — which is clinically possible and well-documented in medical literature — generates almost no ongoing revenue. There is no prescription to refill, no recurring appointment to bill for. The system has no financial incentive to achieve that outcome and does not systematically incentivize physicians to pursue it. +

+ +

+ This is not a conspiracy. Physicians generally want to help their patients. But they operate within a billing and time structure that makes the reversal model difficult to execute: a 15-minute appointment cannot accomplish the sustained dietary counseling, motivational support, and behavioral change work that reversal requires. Intensive lifestyle intervention programs exist, but they are rarely covered by insurance to the extent that pharmacological management is. The system's incentives consistently favor ongoing management over resolution. +

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Regulatory Capture

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+ The FDA, CDC, and HHS are staffed in part through a revolving door with the pharmaceutical and medical device industries they regulate. Senior officials move between industry and regulatory positions throughout their careers. This is documented in congressional testimony, lobbying disclosures, and the career histories of agency leadership going back decades. The consequence is regulatory agencies that are, in many cases, more protective of the industries they are supposed to regulate than of the public whose health they are supposed to protect. +

+ +

+ The opioid crisis is the clearest recent example. The FDA approved OxyContin in 1995 despite internal concerns from some reviewers. The agency then allowed Purdue Pharma to market it aggressively with claims about addiction risk that were, at minimum, misleading. By the time meaningful regulatory action was taken, hundreds of thousands of Americans had died of opioid overdoses. The Sackler family, which owned Purdue Pharma, is worth billions of dollars. The regulatory failure that enabled their business model was not primarily a failure of knowledge — it was a failure of political will, shaped by the industry's influence over the agencies that were supposed to constrain it. +

+ +
+
+ $12–13K + U.S. per-capita healthcare spend annually — highest in the world +
+
+ #40+ + U.S. rank in life expectancy among developed nations +
+
+ ~40% + Share of all U.S. healthcare spending through Medicare & Medicaid +
+
+ 500K+ + Estimated deaths linked to the opioid crisis through 2024 +
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+ +
+ FDA + Medicare/Medicaid + Regulatory Capture + Opioid Crisis + Outcomes vs. Cures + Pharmaceutical Industry +
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+

Freedom of Religion: In Theory and in Practice

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+ The First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution contains two distinct religion clauses: the Establishment Clause ("Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion") and the Free Exercise Clause ("or prohibiting the free exercise thereof"). Together, these are supposed to mean that the government cannot establish an official religion, and that individuals cannot be prevented from practicing their own faith. In formal legal terms, these protections are real and have been enforced by federal courts, including the Supreme Court, for over two centuries. +

+ +

+ But legal protection and lived experience are not the same thing. The question of whether Americans genuinely experience freedom of religion in 2026 depends heavily on which religion you practice — and which community you live in. +

+ +

The Embedded Default

+ +

+ As discussed in the first section of this essay, the organizational framework from which the federal government's structure was drawn — Freemasonry and its affiliated organizations — carries a built-in assumption of monotheistic belief. That assumption is baked into the culture of American public life in ways that are so pervasive they are often invisible to those who benefit from them. The phrase "One Nation Under God" was added to the Pledge of Allegiance in 1954 (the original 1892 version did not contain it). "In God We Trust" became the official national motto in 1956, replacing the de facto motto "E pluribus unum." Sessions of Congress are opened with prayer by paid chaplains. Presidential inaugurations include prayers. The Supreme Court's own building includes depictions of Moses receiving the Ten Commandments. The national discourse about "values" is pervasively coded in terms drawn from Judeo-Christian tradition. +

+ +

+ None of this is illegal. The Supreme Court has generally upheld legislative prayer and certain religious displays on government property as constitutional. But the cumulative effect of this cultural environment is that public life in America carries an implicit assumption of Christian (or at minimum, broadly monotheistic) belief as the baseline of civic respectability. Deviation from that baseline is tolerated — it cannot be legally punished — but it is not socially neutral. +

+ +

Islam in 2026

+ +

+ Muslim Americans have faced a persistent pattern of scrutiny, suspicion, and discrimination that has only intensified over the past two decades. Post-9/11 surveillance programs — including the NSA's bulk collection programs revealed by Edward Snowden and the NYPD's Demographics Unit, which mapped Muslim communities in New York without any predicate criminal suspicion — established the normative framework that Muslim religious practice is a potential security concern that warrants monitoring. That framework has never been formally dismantled. +

+ +

+ In 2026, Muslim Americans applying for certain federal jobs, security clearances, and positions involving national security continue to face a higher scrutiny burden than comparable applicants from other religious backgrounds. Travel profiling remains documented. The social cost — the ambient, diffuse experience of being treated as a potential threat in routine interactions — is not measurable in statistics but is extensively documented in first-person accounts, academic research, and civil rights organization reports. This is not freedom of religion as described in the First Amendment. It is a formal legal right operating within a practical social environment that substantially undermines its meaning. +

+ +

Atheism, Non-Belief, and Social Penalty

+ +

+ Gallup polling has consistently found that Americans express greater reluctance to vote for an atheist presidential candidate than for a candidate of any other religious background or minority group — higher than reluctance to vote for a woman, a Black candidate, or a gay candidate, in many survey years. Surveys of public opinion toward atheists show they are among the least trusted groups in American society, regularly associated with immorality and social untrustworthiness in ways that do not reflect any evidence about atheists' actual behavior. +

+ +

+ As of 2026, there are zero openly atheist members of Congress (one member, Kyrsten Sinema, identified as "religiously unaffiliated" before leaving the Senate). In a country where approximately 30% of adults describe themselves as religiously unaffiliated (the "Nones"), that zero congressional representation is a stark indicator of the social cost of non-belief in American public life. The legal right to be an atheist is unambiguous. The practical political freedom to be an openly atheist elected official remains, in most of the country, effectively nonexistent. +

+ +

LGBTQ+ Identity and the Weaponization of Religious Freedom

+ +

+ The phrase "religious freedom" has, in recent years, been increasingly deployed not as a protection for minority religious practice but as a justification for discrimination against LGBTQ+ individuals and others. Legislation in multiple states has created explicit carve-outs allowing religiously affiliated businesses, healthcare providers, adoption agencies, and other institutions to deny services to LGBTQ+ individuals on the grounds that serving them would violate the provider's religious beliefs. The Supreme Court, in cases including 303 Creative LLC v. Elenis (2023), has expanded the circumstances under which businesses can claim First Amendment protection for refusing service based on content objections. +

+ +

+ The result is a legal landscape in which "religious freedom" is being operationalized primarily as a tool to restrict the freedoms of people whose identities are disapproved of by a particular religious tradition. This is the inversion of the clause's original purpose — the Establishment Clause was designed to protect minority religious practice from majority religious imposition. Using it to enable majority religious practice to impose consequences on minorities who do not share that tradition is a fundamental reversal of the constitutional logic. +

+ +
+

A freedom that exists on paper but carries real social and economic penalties in practice is not freedom as commonly understood. It is tolerance, extended conditionally, revocable under pressure. That is not the same thing.

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+ +
+ First Amendment + Establishment Clause + Islam + Atheism + LGBTQ+ Rights + Religious Freedom Laws + 303 Creative +
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+

Conclusion: Not Bad — But Never Great, and Fixable

+ +
+

+ I want to end where I began: I am not calling this country bad. I am calling it honestly described, which is a different thing. There are Americans who have built extraordinary lives here. There are institutions that work, innovations that have transformed the world, moments of genuine moral courage and collective progress. None of that is erased by what this essay argues. +

+ +

+ What the essay argues is that the country was never "great" in the sense of being founded on great moral principles. It was founded on the pragmatic, flawed, often brutal decisions of human beings who were trying to build a nation that would serve their interests and the interests of people like them. Some of those decisions produced structures — democratic representation, constitutional rights, separation of powers — that genuinely advanced human freedom and deserve to be defended and improved. Others produced structures — the Masonic organizational model, the embedded religious defaults, the compromises that entrenched slavery and disenfranchisement — that have never fully been corrected and whose effects are still visible today. +

+ +

+ The nation was built on capitalism, which pushes for advancement — it used to, anyway. The original promise of American capitalism was mobility: anyone could build something, compete, succeed. That promise has not been completely false. But the system has increasingly calcified around the interests of those who already have power, using that power to prevent the competitive dynamics that could threaten their position. That is not capitalism working as intended. That is capitalism corrupted by its own success. +

+ +

+ On the question of fixing it: the Declaration of Independence contains the right of the people to alter or abolish a government that no longer serves them. The Constitution does not. In fact, the Constitution was deliberately designed to prevent extra-legal overthrow — Article I gives Congress the power to call up the militia to "suppress insurrections," and the 14th Amendment disqualifies from public office anyone who "engaged in insurrection or rebellion." The legal mechanisms for the people to change their government are voting, litigation, organizing, and legislation. These are slow, expensive, and systematically disadvantaged relative to the power of concentrated wealth. But they are what we have. +

+ +

+ The larger obstacle is not legal but cultural. The political divide that consumes so much public energy in 2026 is, in most cases, a distraction. The genuine disagreements are real but narrower than the culture war suggests. Most Americans, across political lines, want functional infrastructure, affordable healthcare, a livable retirement, schools that prepare their children for meaningful lives, and housing they can afford. The fights about culture and identity consume political energy that could be directed at the material failures of the system. That is not an accident. Culture-war politics is, among other things, a business model for media and a vote-mobilization strategy for politicians that benefits everyone in the political industrial complex except the people being mobilized. +

+ +

+ The people most capable of forcing systemic change are, by design, too busy surviving to organize effectively around it. This is the central trap. Long hours, multiple jobs, unaffordable childcare, no paid leave, inadequate healthcare, and crushing housing costs do not produce a population with the time and energy for sustained civic engagement. They produce a population that is exhausted, frightened, and politically manipulable. The solution — collective action at scale — requires precisely the time and security that the current system structurally denies to the people who need it most. +

+ +

+ That is cruel. It is also not inevitable. Structural problems have structural solutions. The representation ratio can be changed — expand the House. The earnings cap for Social Security can be lifted. The revolving door between government and industry can be closed. Healthcare reimbursement can be restructured to reward outcomes over compliance. Zoning laws can be reformed. Dark money can be regulated. None of these require revolution. They require a political environment in which the people who benefit from the current dysfunction no longer have the monopoly on political power they currently enjoy. Getting there is hard. It is not impossible. It starts with accurate description of the problem — which is all this post has ever tried to be. +

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