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Z Fold Longevity Study — 2026

A community-sourced reliability study of every Samsung Galaxy Z Fold generation, from the original Fold through the Fold 7, published as a static site on GitHub Pages.

Live site: https://macusercom.github.io/z-fold-longevity-study/

Z Fold Longevity Study — 2026 hero

This is the third annual edition of the study (2024 / 2025 / 2026). The 2026 dataset has 745 raw responses from 745 owners. After applying the agreed filtering rules, 527 responses are used for the per-generation analysis.

What's in the report

  • Headline TL;DR comparing the Fold 7 against every prior generation in their first year of ownership only (apples-to-apples)
  • Per-generation snapshot cards (RMA, inner-screen breaks, default-protector peeling, micro cracks, hinge flatness, folds-per-day, screen-usage)
  • Interactive year-by-year breakdown across Year 1, Year 2 and Beyond Year 2
  • The "peeling → cracks → break" causal chain, with risk multipliers
  • Inner-screen-protector impact comparison
  • Myth-busting charts on folds-per-day and inner-vs-outer screen usage
  • Stacked surface-degradation breakdown by ownership duration
  • Methodology, exclusion rules and limitations

Filtering rules

The cleaned dataset excludes responses where any of the following apply:

  1. Not factory new — used or refurbished devices have unknown history.
  2. Outer protector sanity check — the Fold doesn't ship with a pre-applied outer protector, so anyone selecting that option is treated as a misread.
  3. Outer-screen self-break — outer breaks "with no fault of my own" are nearly always drops; excluded to reduce noise.
  4. Device-age sanity caps — calibrated to each generation's launch date as of May 2026:
    • Fold 7 (Jul 2025): max 7–12 mo
    • Fold 6 (Jul 2024): max 19–24 mo
    • Fold 5 (Jul 2023): max 25–36 mo
  5. Outside the studied lineup — anything not in DEVICE_ORDER: "I don't own any of them" (9 responses), Z TriFold (7) and Z Fold SE (2), all far below the n ≥ 10 threshold.

Two different reasons sit behind the placeholder cards the site shows:

  • The Z Fold 8 and Z Fold 8 Ultra were announced on 22 July 2026 and go on sale in early August 2026 — months after the May 2026 cutoff — so no response for them was possible. They are mainstream devices and will be covered from the 2027 edition onward.
  • The Z TriFold (7 responses, only 3 of them clean) and Z Fold SE (2) were on sale and did get responses, just far too few to be conclusive. The TriFold launched 12 December 2025 in South Korea and reached only selected markets since; the Fold SE was China/Korea-only. Whether either clears the n ≥ 10 threshold depends on turnout, so their inclusion in 2027 is not guaranteed. The site shows them as placeholder cards in the per-generation grid and in the "What's next" section, driven by PENDING_DEVICES in analysis/analyze.py.

Running locally

The site is fully static. Any HTTP server in the docs/ directory works:

python3 -m http.server 8000 --directory docs
# then open http://localhost:8000

Opening index.html directly with file:// won't work because the page fetches stats.json at runtime.

Regenerating the stats

docs/stats.json is the aggregated data the page renders from. It is generated from the raw response CSV at docs/Samsung-Z-Fold-Questionnaire-2026.csv by a single standard-library Python script:

python3 analysis/analyze.py

The full specification — filter rules, schema, what to update each year, and a manual reproduction recipe — lives at analysis/README.md. Both files are checked in so anyone can audit and reproduce the published numbers from scratch.

Source layout

docs/                                       Static site (GitHub Pages root)
  index.html                                Main report
  style.css                                 Theme (dark / neon)
  app.js                                    Chart.js wiring and dynamic content
  stats.json                                Aggregated study data (generated)
  Samsung-Z-Fold-Questionnaire-2026.csv     Raw response CSV (downloadable)
  privacy.html                              Privacy policy
  imprint.html                              Legal notice
  og-image.svg                              Social card
  sitemap.xml / robots.txt                  SEO

analysis/                                   Reproducible stats pipeline
  analyze.py                                Single-file aggregator (no deps)
  README.md                                 Full rebuild specification

Prior studies

License

MIT. See LICENSE.

This project is independent and not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.

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Independent community reliability study of 745 Samsung Galaxy Z Fold owners across seven generations, Fold 1 to Fold 7. 2026 edition.

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