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Minority Prophet

Count independent evidence, not repeated claims.

Minority Prophet: truth is not popularity

Five agents repeating one source are still one source. Minority Prophet is a research project, benchmark, and deterministic evidence-structure engine for testing whether independently grounded minority evidence survives a copied majority.

It does not decide truth, certify sources, or authorize actions. It counts recorded evidence roots, preserves uncertainty, and exposes where the answer depends on missing or unreliable lineage.

Start here

If you want to… Go to…
Understand the idea in five minutes Public claims
See exactly what is proved, measured, and still unknown Evidence status
Run the benchmark or engine Using Minority Prophet
Inspect the research and preserved results Research map
Understand the components and boundaries Architecture map
Audit claim-to-evidence alignment Evidence map
Contribute Contributor guide
Find anything else Complete repository map

The documentation hub explains which files are introductions, which are current sources of truth, and which are immutable historical records.

The core invariant

A recorded copy must not gain a new vote.

Photocopying one witness statement does not create more witnesses. In a copied majority, naive voting sees five votes against one. Root-aware aggregation sees one recorded source against one independent source and reports the unresolved structure instead of manufacturing confidence.

This guarantee is conditional. Roots must not be freely forged, opposing claims must not be merged, and missing lineage must remain unknown. Root identity can also be decision-relative: separate machines may be independent for a compatibility test while sharing one controller for an operator-consensus question.

What exists today

Surface What it is Maturity
Synthetic benchmark Copied-majority worlds and evaluation metrics Research implementation
Aggregation methods Majority, weighted, root-aware, and experimental comparators Mixed; see each experiment
Provenance graph Evidence ancestry and root-counting primitives Tested reference implementation
Formal model Lean proofs and theorem/claim scope Compiled, narrowly scoped proofs
Research records Content-bound lifecycle records for experiments Canonical registry mechanism
Engine runtime Provider-neutral, read-only MCP/HTTP analysis service Reference runtime
Website and dashboard Public explanation and result views Public interface

The shortest honest status is: narrow invariants are proved; large synthetic and bibliographic measurements exist; real-world provenance recovery and general truth discovery are not established. See Evidence status and Public claims before quoting results.

Try it

git clone https://github.com/Silentpartnercoding/minority-prophet.git
cd minority-prophet
python -m pip install .
python -m benchmark --worlds 500 --seed 7
python -m experiments.los_inspired_v01

For the read-only MCP/HTTP engine:

npm --prefix evaluations/multi-model-v1 install
MP_ENGINE_ALLOW_INSECURE_LOCAL=1 \
  npm --prefix evaluations/multi-model-v1 exec mp-engine -- doctor

The runtime assesses evidence structure only. Installation never authorizes an agent to perform protected actions. Full setup, API, and verification commands are in Using Minority Prophet.

Research discipline

Negative, incomplete, superseded, and adverse results remain visible. Current claim authority comes from the canonical record registry, claim-to-record ledger, and machine-readable research records, not from how prominent or recent a file looks.

The current manuscript is available through the stable current-paper entry point. Every research hypothesis must state a null, metric, failure condition, and success condition.

Project boundaries

Minority Prophet assesses evidence dependence. It does not replace:

  • identity, authorization, or action policy;
  • world-state verification;
  • general agent observability;
  • a truth oracle; or
  • human judgment about the consequences of acting.

Those boundaries and the relationship to Gate, Border, AgentWEX, and a possible larger epistemic stack are documented in System architecture.

Licensed under the Apache License 2.0. See NOTICE and contributors.

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Evidence-aware truth aggregation under copying pressure, with reproducible benchmarks and provenance-aware baselines.

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