wedge

Automated weather prediction market trading bot. Detects edges between GFS ensemble forecasts and Polymarket pricing, sizes positions with fractional Kelly criterion.

Install

uv tool install git+https://github.com/Xeron2000/wedge

Quick Start

# 1. Initialize config
wedge config init

# 2. Set API keys
wedge config set polymarket_private_key "0x..."
wedge config set polymarket_api_key "your-key"
wedge config set polymarket_api_secret "your-secret"

# 3. Run in dry-run mode
wedge run

# 4. Run in live mode
wedge run --live

Configuration

Wedge uses a hierarchical config system:

Priority: CLI args > env vars > config file > defaults

Locations:

• Config: ~/.config/wedge/config.toml
• Database: ~/.local/share/wedge/wedge.db

Config Commands

wedge config init              # Create config file
wedge config set <key> <value> # Set a value
wedge config show              # View all settings
wedge config path              # Show file locations

See docs/CONFIG.md for full documentation.

Usage

wedge scan --city NYC
wedge run --dry-run
wedge run --dry-run --bankroll 500 --kelly 0.10
wedge run --dry-run --telegram
wedge run --live --bankroll 1000
wedge stats --days 30

Environment Variables

Config file is recommended, but env vars still work:

# Telegram (optional)
export WEDGE_TELEGRAM_TOKEN="..."
export WEDGE_TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID="..."

# Polymarket (required for --live)
export WEDGE_POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY="..."
export WEDGE_POLYMARKET_API_KEY="..."
export WEDGE_POLYMARKET_API_SECRET="..."

Tests

uv run pytest