Research & education only. Not investment advice.
Evidence-First Financial AI
The Science Trust Layer for Financial AI.
Financial AI normally gives you an answer.
YUCLAW gives you the evidence — what was known, when it was known, what it can support, what it cannot, and whether the conclusion survived.
Make financial AI accountable to evidence.
- Trace every claim to the filing it came from.
- Lock every method before the data arrives.
- State every conclusion’s limits.
- Keep every result — including the ones we wished had come out differently.
A public, hash-linked record, built to be recomputed by anyone.
Become the Science Trust Layer for Financial AI.
The evidence infrastructure that AI systems, researchers, and institutions use to decide what deserves to be believed.
| Principle | Practice |
|---|---|
| We don’t ask you to trust us. | We give you the hash. |
| We don’t predict. | We register, compute once, and disclose. |
| We don’t hide the days we were wrong. | We chain them. |
| For | What you get |
|---|---|
| Analysts | The evidence behind every label, and the label’s limits. |
| Builders | Machine-readable receipts — passports, endpoints, and a registry you can walk line by line. |
| Institutions | A record that can be audited without asking us. |
Statistics is one instrument. Evidence is the foundation. Science is the discipline.
AI is the market. Trust is the product. Accountability is the mission.
🍁 Built in Canada
Designed for reproduction from published artifacts. One affiliated external-machine reproduction recorded; unaffiliated replications: 0.
First touch — install, ask for help, check a claim, reproduce the Lab (expected exit code in the comment):
pip install yuclaw # installs the CLI
yuclaw --help # command list with one-line descriptions · exit 0
yuclaw check-claim --text "NVDA reported an insider sale in May 2026" # Evidence Passport JSON · exit 0
yuclaw check-claim --ticker NVDA --accession 0001045810-26-000019 # passport for one cited filing · exit 0
yuclaw check-claim --accession 0001045810-26-000019 # accession alone: unique → same passport · exit 0
# (ambiguous accession → exit 2 with the candidate tickers)
yuclaw replay-lab # rebuilds every published Lab statistic · exit 0 = reproducedExit-code contract for every command: 0 = success · 1 = ran, negative result (e.g. a replay mismatch) · 2 = usage or validation error · 3 = environment unsupported. The transcript below is generated from the release-candidate wheel and regenerated every release:
Transcript generated from the release-candidate wheel yuclaw-6.0.1-py3-none-any.whl (yuclaw 6.0.1, Python 3.12.3, 2026-09-04 UTC) by tools/cli_transcript.py; the replay-lab run uses the documented local-bundle path.
$ yuclaw --version
yuclaw 6.0.1
[exit 0]
$ yuclaw --help
yuclaw 6.0.1 — evidence-first financial research CLI (research and education only; not investment advice)
usage: yuclaw <command> [args] · yuclaw <command> --help
commands:
brief evidence brief (legacy v3 helper)
cascade supply-chain cascade view for a ticker (deterministic, evidence-backed)
check-claim Evidence Passport — deterministic claim check (--text, --ticker/--type/--date-range, --accession)
demo 3-minute guided offline journey — zero config, no backend
events accepted-events export (derived data only)
export lens events export (--format csv|json; --page builds the evidence packet)
intake-check client-side pre-check of a signal CSV for Signal Review (never transmits)
keys manage API keys for the REST server
lens lens summary-card data as JSON (the numbers the page renders)
... (11 more lines)
[exit 0]
$ yuclaw check-claim --text "NVDA reported an insider sale in May 2026"
{
"status": "SOURCE_MATCHED",
"claim_as_parsed": {
"ticker": "NVDA",
"type": "INSIDER_SELL",
"accession": null,
"date_range": null
},
"misses": [],
"matched_evidence": "<5 object(s)>",
"...": "<8 fields total; not_advice line present: True>"
}
[exit 0]
$ yuclaw check-claim --ticker NVDA --accession 0001045810-26-000019
{
"status": "SOURCE_MATCHED",
"claim_as_parsed": {
"ticker": "NVDA",
"type": null,
"accession": "0001045810-26-000019",
"date_range": null
},
"misses": [],
"matched_evidence": "<1 object(s)>",
"...": "<8 fields total; not_advice line present: True>"
}
[exit 0]
$ yuclaw check-claim --accession 0001045810-26-000019
{
"status": "SOURCE_MATCHED",
"claim_as_parsed": {
"ticker": "NVDA",
"type": null,
"accession": "0001045810-26-000019",
"date_range": null
},
"misses": [],
"matched_evidence": "<1 object(s)>",
"...": "<8 fields total; not_advice line present: True>"
}
[exit 0]
$ yuclaw replay-lab docs/replay/lab_replay_bundle.json
Replay bundle built 2026-09-04 09:51 UTC from source commit 251f13141ee6
Ledger repo: https://github.com/YuClawLab/yuclaw-trust @ c7f6fa2dd84d
[forward] 72 rebalance periods, window ['2026-05-20', '2026-09-03']
spread top_minus_bottom mean/period -0.00159 t=-0.47 p=0.640 n=72 CI95=(-0.00837,+0.00491)
spread top_minus_universe mean/period -0.00172 t=-0.97 p=0.335 n=72 CI95=(-0.00528,+0.00169)
IC 1d mean +0.0081 NW-t=+0.28 (lag 0) p=0.778 T=76 dates
IC 5d mean -0.0095 NW-t=-0.23 (lag 4) p=0.822 T=72 dates
IC 20d mean -0.0300 NW-t=-0.73 (lag 19) p=0.467 T=57 dates [T too small — descriptive only]
market-model vs_universe alpha/period -0.00160 beta +0.90 t(alpha)=-0.89 p=0.376 R2=0.189 n=72
market-model vs_spy alpha/period -0.00115 beta +0.80 t(alpha)=-0.63 p=0.529 R2=0.158 n=72
[in_sample] 13 rebalance periods, window ['2026-02-18', '2026-05-18']
spread top_minus_bottom mean/period +0.00553 t=+0.41 p=0.686 n=13 CI95=(-0.01937,+0.03079)
... (11 more lines)
[exit 0]
Protocol chain (statistics locked BEFORE computation, tamper-evident):
curl -sO https://raw.githubusercontent.com/YuClawLab/yuclaw-brain/main/registry/protocols.jsonl ·
full clean-environment replication: make replicate.
How we compare → · Take the 5-minute tour →
What you'll find inside: the baseline test our own composite lost at current sample sizes — published under the pre-registered protocol · a label-calibration panel that says "directional meaning not yet demonstrated" · retired hypotheses preserved with their grounds · 500+ filings shown to be 3 evidence stories · robustness grids that print where results break.
Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations.
Live site (yuclaw.ca) ·
Validation Lab ·
SMH Evidence Lens ·
XLK Evidence Lens ·
Canada Resources ·
Forward Tracking ·
📖 User Guide (EN) ·
📖 Guide (FR) ·
Weekly Note ·
For AI agents → llms.txt ·
Important
Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Hypothetical research; past results do not predict future performance.
-
Statistics are registered before they are computed. Every published statistic names its protocol in a hash-chained, append-only registry (registry/protocols.jsonl); estimator changes are supersessions, never edits. Check the chain yourself:
python3 - <<'EOF' import sys; sys.path.insert(0, 'tools') from yuclaw_protocol_registry import Registry Registry('registry/protocols.jsonl').verify_chain(); print('chain OK') EOF
-
Self-audits publish as measured. A pre-registered champion-challenger test found a persistence baseline ahead of our own composite at the primary horizon — that table is on the Lab page, not in a drawer. The label-calibration panel prints where labels carry no demonstrated directional meaning.
-
Lenses pass a published admission standard or they don't ship. The XLK lens is live because it passed the same admission standard the SMH lens registered; verdicts and their reasons print on each page.
-
The evidence layer is machine-readable. llms.txt and evidence_index.json give AI agents stable URLs for every page, packet, and protocol.
- Every signal traces to a filing. Each composite score decomposes into nine components, and every evidence event links to the SEC document it was extracted from — checked against the source text before any signal sees it.
- Every snapshot is hashed to a public, tamper-evident ledger — git-anchored, never edited. Daily signal sets are content-hashed and committed to yuclaw-trust before pages publish. Outages are disclosed, never backfilled.
- Every Lab chart is reproducible bit-for-bit.
yuclaw replay-lab(or a standalone stdlib script) rebuilds the cohorts, recomputes every statistic, and re-derives every ledger hash root from published derived data.
pip install yuclaw
yuclaw demo # 3-minute guided journey — works offline, zero config
yuclaw why AMD --as-of 2026-05-20 # bundled offline signal, no backend neededLive signals for all tickers need the local backend
(docs/v4/backend_setup.md); the published-data
commands work anywhere with no backend. The most recent recorded external-machine
replication (see the Replication Log) ran
replay-lab from a fresh venv with nothing but pip install yuclaw and reproduced
74 daily ledger roots exactly plus one anchored-subset day (6,165 leaf hashes
recomputed) and every published statistic, exit 0. It exits non-zero on any
mismatch.
Current package version: 6.0.1 — the release notes, the frozen wheel and sdist
SHA-256 hashes, and the shipped-object list live on the
GitHub Release for this version
(all releases ·
CHANGELOG). 6.0.1 is a patch — public synchronization and CLI
first-touch; no methodology change; protocol chain unchanged at 82 lines.
yuclaw --help # Command list with one-line descriptions (also -h, help)
yuclaw why TICKER # Composite signal + ranked evidence w/ SEC source URLs
yuclaw check-claim --text "..." # Evidence Passport — deterministic claim check (also --ticker/--type/--date-range/--accession)
yuclaw replay TICKER --date DATE # Point-in-time signal at end of date
yuclaw replay-lab # Reproduce the Validation Lab from the public bundle
yuclaw validation # In-sample event validation + forward tracking ledger
yuclaw events --ticker SU --since 2026-05-01 # Accepted-events export (derived data only)
yuclaw lens canada --lens XEG # Lens summary-card data as JSON (same numbers the page renders)
yuclaw export --lens GDX --format csv # Lens events export; --page builds the evidence packet
yuclaw memo --ticker SU --days 30 # Evidence memo — grounded, citation-verified, linted (docs/usage.md)
yuclaw verify TICKER --date DATE # Verified Research Ledger integrity checkWorked examples with real output: docs/usage.md.
Public signal vocabulary: STRONG_BULLISH, BULLISH, NEUTRAL, WATCH,
WEAKENING, NEGATIVE_EVENT, BEARISH_WATCH, RISK_ALERT.
There is no SELL or SHORT label — these are research classifications, not trade directions.
SEC EDGAR (Form 4 / 8-K / 10-Q / 10-K / 6-K / 20-F / 40-F)
│
▼ systemd poller (always-on, 5-min sweep)
├──▶ Form 4 → deterministic XML parser (no LLM, zero GPU) → events table
▼ prose-first text acquisition (exhibit / MD&A prose; XBRL cover fallback)
▼ Llama 3.1 70B extraction + SourceLock Guard (checked against source text)
▼ events table — the evidence layer
▼ Layer-1 specialist swarm (10 specialists; risk channel kept SEPARATE from direction)
▼ 9-component composite (C1..C9)
▼ signal_snapshots (content-hashed)
├──▶ Verified Research Ledger (git-anchored, public)
├──▶ Forward Tracking Ledger (outcomes vs SPY at 1 / 5 / 20 days)
├──▶ Live landing + Validation Lab pages (regenerated daily)
└──▶ SDK / REST / MCP server
132-name coverage: a 79-name scoring universe (equities + sector ETFs + broad ETFs + macro instruments) plus a 53-filer evidence tier (49 Canada Resources issuers + 4 SMH-lens foreign filers: ASML, NXPI, STM, TSM) — ingested and dashboarded, never scored; the boundary is machine-enforced.
Deep dives: system architecture, operations, hardware · OpenClaw / MCP integration · methodology.
A decile-cohort event study of whether YUCLAW's composite score carries forward information — methodology reviewed by two senior finance/methodology academics, plus a structured multi-AI critique loop:
- Regenerated daily after U.S. market close, freshness-stamped, with a staleness alarm in the health monitor.
- Statistical rigor panel: bootstrap confidence intervals, Newey–West and clustered inference, market-model alpha, and a statistical power meter that quantifies what the current n can and cannot detect.
- Statistics computed per-regime (in-sample vs forward) and never blended across the boundary.
- Reproduce this page:
yuclaw replay-labor the standalone stdlib script.
In the Lab's own words: "No forward alpha has been statistically proven yet."
🔬 Live: Signal Validation Lab · Today's Evidence Digest · Independent Replication Log · Methodology: docs/methodology/validation_lab.md
Hypothetical research illustration — not investment advice, not performance advertising.
Full methodology lives in docs/methodology/backfill.md. The honest limits, stated up front:
- The forward record is young. Forward tracking began 2026-05-20; roughly 50 trading days of look-ahead-free history exist as of early August 2026 — enough to display, not enough for statistical significance; the Lab's power meter quantifies this.
- In-sample is replay reconstruction, not a live backtest. The in-sample panel was materialized after the fact by the replay engine; the canonical look-ahead statement below says exactly what the extraction model could and could not have seen, and why in-sample results stay systematically optimistic.
- C6 risk channel is partially confirmed. Rareness confirmed OOS; the sign question remains open — the first read under the registered v2 protocol printed INCONCLUSIVE (2026-07-30) and accrual continues. The sign confirmation is the gate for Layers 2–10, and it has not been met.
- C4 macro regime is temporarily frozen as of 2026-05-18 with a staleness
disclosure, pending macro-engine restoration. C1/C3/C5/C7 read live
price_history; C6/C8/C9 remain point-in-time exact. - Jun 26 – Jul 3, 2026 outage — disclosed, not patched. A network outage froze price-derived inputs at Jun 25 closes while snapshots continued point-in-time on-box. No snapshot or ledger row was retroactively edited.
- No table of headline % returns appears in this README. Hit rates are reported alongside their n on the live validation page; small-n panels are tagged.
Look-ahead statement — canonical text, byte-identical on every surface (README, methodology, Validation Lab page; checked by the copy-consistency gate):
In-sample look-ahead statement. The in-sample replay rows (signal dates 2026-02-18 to 2026-05-13, evidence window 2026-02-18 to 2026-05-17) were built from evidence events extracted by one language model, Meta Llama 3.1 70B Instruct (served locally as yuclaw-llm-70b), whose published pretraining cutoff is December 2023 (Meta model card). Form 4 events in the window come from a deterministic XML parser with no language model. The earliest in-sample date is about 26 months after that cutoff, so no filing text in the window could have been seen in training: there is no parametric look-ahead from the filings themselves, and the model's general market knowledge also ends before the window begins. The replay engine flags any as-of date before 2024-07-01 as inside the model's training window; no in-sample date triggers it. In-sample results nonetheless remain a replay reconstruction, not a live record: the scoring design was finalized in May 2026, after the window it is replayed over, market-layer components read approximated inputs, and no in-sample signal was exposed to external challenge in real time. In-sample results are therefore treated as systematically optimistic and educational only; the forward record (signal dates from 2026-05-20) is the look-ahead-free record.
| Live site | yuclaw.ca |
| Validation Lab | validation_lab.html |
| SMH Evidence Lens | etf_evidence.html |
| XLK Evidence Lens | xlk_evidence.html |
| 📖 User Guide (EN / FR) | EN · FR |
| @Vincenzhang2026 | |
| GitHub | YuClawLab |
| PyPI | pypi.org/project/yuclaw |
| Methodology | docs/methodology/backfill.md |
YUCLAW is open-source research and educational software. It is NOT financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All signals, scores, and analyses are generated by automated AI models and may contain errors.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment.
YuClawLab, its contributors, and affiliates accept no liability for any losses arising from use of this software.
For educational and research purposes only. See docs/methodology/backfill.md and DISCLAIMER.md for the long-form versions.
The open evidence layer for financial AI.
Agents citing YUCLAW inherit accession-verified, point-in-time, hash-anchored evidence. Start at capabilities.json — one URL discovers the why-JSON API, the Evidence Passport, the schemas, EvidenceBench, and the MCP tools (full pitch).
- Start here:
llms.txtand the machine-readableevidence_index.json(every page, packet, and protocol with stable URLs and data-through dates). - Objects: the five frozen v1 JSON Schemas — SignalSnapshot, EvidenceEvent, ResearchProtocol, RobustnessCell, ResearchMemo — at /schemas/; today's real outputs validate against them in the daily gate suite.
- Consume: evidence packets (derived statistics, event CSVs, engine run
JSONs, metadata + citation snippets) from
/packets/; the MCP server exposeswhy / memo / events / lens / universe / validation / verifyas tools with friendly no-backend behavior. - Cite: use the
CITATION.txtinside any packet; event-level citations use event IDs resolvable in the packet CSVs. - Verify:
pip install yuclaw && yuclaw replay-labrecomputes the published Lab statistics from the public bundle; the protocol registry (registry/protocols.jsonl) is hash-chained and append-only. - Rules: derived statistics only; preserve the disclaimers and the frozen implication line when quoting inference; nothing here is advice or a recommendation.
Released under the Apache License 2.0 — free for everyone.
pip install yuclaw