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election_closeness

A better measure of how close an (American) election was. -ln(minimum optimally allocated flipped votes / total votes). Non-trivial part: finding the optimal allocation of the votes.

Results

The 2016 election was the 7th closest American election according to my measure. This is summarized in the table below

Year Closeness measure
2000 12.8788
1876 9.84789
1884 9.76972
1916 9.19277
1976 9.08467
1960 8.89035
2016 8.16830
2004 7.65743
1948 7.41799
1888 7.36812
1880 6.99848
1844 6.96478
1848 6.80285
1896 6.61915
2012 6.39987
1968 6.29357
1892 6.20013
1992 5.90432
1840 5.68754
2008 5.58167
1908 5.51479
1868 5.35187
1900 5.25117
1828 5.25075
1944 5.14849
1988 5.13771
1996 5.11971
1864 4.81021
1856 4.80715
1980 4.77334
1940 4.76239
1852 4.60067
1872 4.56999
1832 4.56226
1836 4.54657
1928 4.49430
1952 4.46076
1904 4.37798
1912 4.25195
1860 4.20753
1956 3.99510
1924 3.96937
1824 3.94658
1932 3.81664
1920 3.80465
1984 3.54461
1964 3.53527
1972 3.20482
1936 3.15439

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A better measure of how close an election was.

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