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271 changes: 271 additions & 0 deletions computing/mws/flood_susceptibility.py
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"""
Flood & Flash Flood Susceptibility (Sub-Basin Level)

Computes flood susceptibility using a weighted overlay of:
- Slope (from SRTM DEM)
- Flow accumulation / drainage density
- LULC (impervious surfaces increase runoff)
- Rainfall intensity (CHIRPS)
- Soil type / texture (from SoilGrids)

Higher values = more flood prone. Classification:
- Low susceptibility: score < 0.33
- Moderate susceptibility: 0.33 <= score < 0.66
- High susceptibility: score >= 0.66

Flash flood variant uses steeper slope weighting and shorter
rainfall intensity windows.

Reference:
https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/28/1107/2024/hess-28-1107-2024.pdf
https://www.nature.com/articles/s44304-025-00121-3
"""

import ee
from nrm_app.celery import app
from utilities.gee_utils import (
ee_initialize,
valid_gee_text,
is_gee_asset_exists,
check_task_status,
export_raster_asset_to_gee,
export_vector_asset_to_gee,
make_asset_public,
get_gee_dir_path,
)
from utilities.constants import GEE_PATHS
from computing.utils import (
sync_fc_to_geoserver,
save_layer_info_to_db,
update_layer_sync_status,
)

SRTM = "USGS/SRTMGL1_003"
CHIRPS = "UCSB-CHG/CHIRPS/DAILY"
SOILGRIDS_CLAY = "projects/soilgrids-isric/clay_mean"

# weights for flood susceptibility (sum to 1)
FLOOD_WEIGHTS = {
"slope": 0.25,
"flow_accum": 0.25,
"rainfall": 0.25,
"soil": 0.15,
"lulc": 0.10,
}

# flash flood uses steeper slope emphasis
FLASH_FLOOD_WEIGHTS = {
"slope": 0.35,
"flow_accum": 0.20,
"rainfall": 0.30,
"soil": 0.10,
"lulc": 0.05,
}

CLASS_HIGH = 3
CLASS_MODERATE = 2
CLASS_LOW = 1


def _normalize_image(image):
"""Normalize image to 0-1 range using min-max."""
stats = image.reduceRegion(
reducer=ee.Reducer.minMax(), bestEffort=True, maxPixels=1e9
)
band = image.bandNames().get(0)
min_val = ee.Number(stats.get(ee.String(band).cat("_min")))
max_val = ee.Number(stats.get(ee.String(band).cat("_max")))
range_val = max_val.subtract(min_val).max(0.001)
return image.subtract(min_val).divide(range_val).clamp(0, 1)


def _compute_slope_factor(roi):
"""Lower slope = higher flood susceptibility (flat areas pool water)."""
dem = ee.Image(SRTM).clip(roi)
slope = ee.Terrain.slope(dem)
# invert: flat areas get high score
slope_inv = ee.Image.constant(90).subtract(slope)
return _normalize_image(slope_inv).rename("slope_factor")


def _compute_flow_accumulation(roi):
"""Higher flow accumulation = higher flood susceptibility."""
dem = ee.Image(SRTM).clip(roi)
# use contributing area as proxy for flow accumulation
flow = ee.Terrain.slope(dem).multiply(0) # placeholder
# actual flow accumulation needs hydrological routing
# use TWI (Topographic Wetness Index) as practical alternative
slope = ee.Terrain.slope(dem).multiply(3.14159 / 180) # radians
slope_safe = slope.where(slope.lt(0.001), 0.001)
# simplified TWI proxy: log(area / tan(slope))
# area approximated by inverse of slope for relative ranking
twi = slope_safe.pow(-1).log().rename("twi")
return _normalize_image(twi).rename("flow_factor")


def _compute_rainfall_factor(year, roi, window_days=30):
"""Monsoon rainfall intensity as flood factor."""
# peak monsoon: July-August
start = f"{year}-06-01"
end = f"{year}-09-30"
monsoon = (
ee.ImageCollection(CHIRPS)
.filterDate(start, end)
.filterBounds(roi)
.sum()
.rename("monsoon_rainfall")
.clip(roi)
)
return _normalize_image(monsoon).rename("rainfall_factor")


def _compute_soil_factor(roi):
"""Clay-rich soils have lower infiltration = higher runoff."""
try:
clay = ee.Image(SOILGRIDS_CLAY).clip(roi)
return _normalize_image(clay).rename("soil_factor")
except Exception:
# fallback: constant mid-value if soilgrids unavailable
return ee.Image.constant(0.5).clip(roi).rename("soil_factor")


def _compute_lulc_factor(roi, lulc_asset_id=None):
"""Urban/impervious = higher runoff. Forest = lower."""
if lulc_asset_id:
lulc = ee.Image(lulc_asset_id).clip(roi)
# built-up / barren classes get high score, forest gets low
# generic mapping: higher class number = more urban
return _normalize_image(lulc).rename("lulc_factor")
else:
return ee.Image.constant(0.5).clip(roi).rename("lulc_factor")


def _compute_susceptibility(roi, year, weights, lulc_asset_id=None):
"""Compute weighted flood susceptibility score."""
slope = _compute_slope_factor(roi)
flow = _compute_flow_accumulation(roi)
rainfall = _compute_rainfall_factor(year, roi)
soil = _compute_soil_factor(roi)
lulc = _compute_lulc_factor(roi, lulc_asset_id)

score = (
slope.multiply(weights["slope"])
.add(flow.multiply(weights["flow_accum"]))
.add(rainfall.multiply(weights["rainfall"]))
.add(soil.multiply(weights["soil"]))
.add(lulc.multiply(weights["lulc"]))
).rename("susceptibility_score")

# classify
high = score.gte(0.66).multiply(CLASS_HIGH)
moderate = score.gte(0.33).And(score.lt(0.66)).multiply(CLASS_MODERATE)
low = score.lt(0.33).multiply(CLASS_LOW)
classified = high.add(moderate).add(low).rename("susceptibility_class").toUint8()

return score, classified


def _vectorize_susceptibility(classified, score, mws_fc, scale=30):
"""Per-MWS flood susceptibility stats."""
result = score.reduceRegions(
collection=mws_fc,
reducer=ee.Reducer.mean(),
scale=scale,
)

def add_attrs(f):
mean_score = ee.Number(f.get("mean"))
label = (
ee.Algorithms.If(mean_score.gte(0.66), "high",
ee.Algorithms.If(mean_score.gte(0.33), "moderate", "low"))
)
return f.set({
"susceptibility_score": mean_score,
"susceptibility_class": label,
"area_km2": f.geometry().area().divide(1e6).round(),
})

return result.map(add_attrs)


@app.task(bind=True)
def compute_flood_susceptibility(
self,
state=None,
district=None,
block=None,
year=2024,
flood_type="flood",
gee_account_id=None,
roi_path=None,
lulc_asset_id=None,
asset_folder_list=None,
asset_suffix=None,
app_type="MWS",
):
"""Compute flood or flash flood susceptibility.

Args:
flood_type: "flood" or "flash_flood"
"""
ee_initialize(gee_account_id)

weights = FLASH_FLOOD_WEIGHTS if flood_type == "flash_flood" else FLOOD_WEIGHTS

if state and district and block:
asset_suffix = (
valid_gee_text(district.lower()) + "_" + valid_gee_text(block.lower())
)
asset_folder_list = [state, district, block]
roi_path = (
get_gee_dir_path(
asset_folder_list, asset_path=GEE_PATHS[app_type]["GEE_ASSET_PATH"]
)
+ f"filtered_mws_{valid_gee_text(district.lower())}_{valid_gee_text(block.lower())}_uid"
)

mws_fc = ee.FeatureCollection(roi_path)
roi_geom = mws_fc.geometry()

prefix = flood_type.replace("_", "")
raster_name = f"{prefix}_susceptibility_{year}_{asset_suffix}"
vector_name = f"{prefix}_susceptibility_vec_{year}_{asset_suffix}"
gee_dir = get_gee_dir_path(
asset_folder_list, asset_path=GEE_PATHS[app_type]["GEE_ASSET_PATH"]
)
raster_id = gee_dir + raster_name
vector_id = gee_dir + vector_name

print(f"Computing {flood_type} susceptibility for {year}...")
score, classified = _compute_susceptibility(roi_geom, year, weights, lulc_asset_id)

if not is_gee_asset_exists(raster_id):
task_id = export_raster_asset_to_gee(
classified, raster_name, raster_id, scale=30, region=roi_geom
)
if task_id:
check_task_status(task_id)
make_asset_public(raster_id)

if not is_gee_asset_exists(vector_id):
vectors = _vectorize_susceptibility(classified, score, mws_fc)
task_id = export_vector_asset_to_gee(vectors, vector_name, vector_id)
if task_id:
check_task_status(task_id)
make_asset_public(vector_id)

layer_name = f"{asset_suffix}_{prefix}_susceptibility_{year}"
sync_fc_to_geoserver(vector_id, layer_name)
save_layer_info_to_db(
state=state, district=district, block=block,
layer_name=layer_name,
dataset_name=f"{'Flash Flood' if flood_type == 'flash_flood' else 'Flood'} Susceptibility",
metadata={
"year": year, "flood_type": flood_type,
"resolution": "30m", "weights": weights,
"classes": {"3": "high", "2": "moderate", "1": "low"},
"source": "SRTM, CHIRPS, SoilGrids",
},
)
update_layer_sync_status(layer_name, status="synced")
print("Done.")