Francis Tsiboe
fcipSupplementalLab is a research framework for analyzing supplemental crop insurance products within the United States Federal Crop Insurance Program (FCIP).
The repository supports reproducible, policy-oriented analysis of how supplemental coverage options affect producer behavior, actuarial performance, public–private risk sharing, and federal fiscal exposure.
This project focuses on the following analytical dimensions:
- Adoption and demand
- Uptake of supplemental products (e.g., ECO, SCO, MCO)
- Coverage-level substitution and plan choice
- Actuarial performance and program soundness
- Loss ratios, dispersion, tail risk, and persistence
- Rating performance relative to underlying risk
- Fiscal exposure
- Federal premium subsidies and indemnity outlays
- Budget risk under alternative policy designs
- Risk reduction and income transfer
- Mean revenue effects and volatility reduction
- Income transfer magnitude and distribution
- Basis risk and coverage quality
- Alignment between realized losses and indemnities
- Design efficiency and spatial/temporal basis risk