Fold hourly 0843 HIGH: hysteresis, instruct-tuning ECE, calibration does not compose by 24601 · Pull Request #35 · 24601/Augustus

24601 · 2026-09-20T15:08:07Z

Hourly System One watch 0843 (Boise, ~2026-09-20T14:43Z). Rebased onto latest main after merged #31 (0743), #32 (v0.4.0 / 486e93e), #33 (README map), and #34 (Pages layout).

IDs (remapped off merged #31)

research/notes.md §114 (0743 keeps §113)
composition items 289–302 (0743 keeps 273–288)
findings batch #97 (0743 keeps #96)
uniqueness lock ends #23–#33; notes.md §114

Do not reopen or amend PR #23–#34. Do not reply into the finished 0743 agent. Merged #31 owns §113 / 273–288 / #96 — leave it alone.

What landed

SKILL YAML/protocol/mapping index, mental-models Apply 0843, FAQ, fail table, validation, uniqueness lock across 21 overlays, CHANGELOG Unreleased (lock dump stays in research/changelog-hourly.md). README stays the shortened #33/#34 map plus one 0843 lock line (122 lines; not a wall restore).

HIGH cards (quote theirs; 0★ and size-0-WITH-CONTENTS still get real cards):

huncho — a hunch is a probability with a policy attached; {enter:0.8, exit:0.6} hysteresis is policy, not a model property; replay policy without inference; providers ≠ product
VladUZH/jev-calibration (PRIMARY) — Qwen2.5 base ECE 0.030/0.040 vs instruct 0.302/0.269; acc 70.9%→70.0% while mean conf 74.1%→96.7%; no Jev API called; Qwen2.5 ≠ Archer
sokudan — JA encoder; weights 準備中; bool AUROC 0.523; 先頭0件/末尾250件; no Jev code
g0runmezadam/what-is-jev — IS tunahansahin897/what-is-jev (GitHub id 1378007307); densify §109, not a second census
ask-jev — 13 checks + mutually exclusive outcome; probabilities advisory, not calibrated; ≠ mcp_jev
rlaope/jeval (PRIMARY) — equal-width vs quantile ECE 0.113 vs 0.076 theirs; drift M2 not implemented; ≠ jevals
deferred-crispification (PRIMARY) — calibration does not compose; hop-ECE permutation-invariant / zero power on clustered errors; 25–60× headline withdrawn; TCE/AMS; Deferred Crispification; Qwen 3.8 sparring ≠ Archer
screening / moss-jev recorded-run / jev-benchmarks (BERT-Base 93.02 is supervised, not zero-shot; ECE backlog) / usecases catalog≠endorsement / highlight BYO key / decision-circuits AND-product independence recorded / xiaohuaxi not a benchmark, 档位措辞, control bug 0.01

Archer still promised_not_landed. Never treat Qwen/Qwen3.8-27B as Archer. Hub archerhume/4rcherhume HTTP 401 this pass. 0843 pulse snapshot kept (SemIf 2237★); not mixed with #31’s later 2241★.

Mental-model spine (AI / SWE / business / life, not SWE-only): hysteresis is policy; ranking ≠ calibration; binning is a decision; hop-ECE is measurement theater as a trajectory audit; soft Noul ≠ hard safety.

Testing (Basit standing order)

python3 .agents/skills/augustus/scripts/evaluate_decisions.py --self-test
python3 .agents/skills/augustus/scripts/uniqueness_gate.py

Local: both green on 011667b. Self-test covers perfect Brier, ranking≠calibration (AUC=1, ECE>0.2), equal-width≠quantile on piled mass, hysteresis vs single 0.7, hop-ECE permutation invariance, cost-optimal threshold direction. Uniqueness gate requires the 0843 lock as one consecutive substring in 21 overlays + YAML-parse of SKILL.md. Pages gate strings kept by #34 (TypeSafe Jev Choice/Score/Noul, Install the skill; LICENSE in the layout).

Adversarial self-review: no wrappers/keys/install recipes; rename is IS not ≠; 25–60× withdrawn; BERT figures not zero-shot; screening 0.5 sensitivity does not transfer; independence for AND is assumed and recorded. Census A 273 · B 302 · C 372 and ECE 0.113 not remapped (not section IDs).

Not merged from this agent. Review + CI before merge.

24601

Adversarial review + testing gate — PASS on head 6ab65a8 (rebased onto main 35bec95 / #31+#32+#33).

Rebase / ID remap

Original head e60e6d9 was CONFLICTING because #31 already owns §113 / items 273–288 / batch #96. This branch was rebased onto latest main and remapped:

notes §114 (0743 keeps §113)
composition 289–302 (0743 keeps 273–288)
findings #97 (0743 keeps #96)
lock end #23–#33; notes.md §114

#31 / #32 / #33 / #30 were not reopened or amended. README stays the shortened #33 map + one 0843 lock line (118 lines; not a wall restore).

Checklist

No invented metrics / live REST drift — PASS. Census A 273 · B 302 · C 372 and ECE 0.113 left as theirs. 0843 pulse SemIf 2237★ kept; not mixed with #31’s 2241★.
Soft Noul never hard gate — PASS. Lock and cards keep Soft Noul ≠ hard safety; ask-jev probabilities advisory; screening cutoff theater; 0.85 still soft elsewhere untouched.
No silent fallback / soundness theater — PASS. Hop-ECE called permutation-invariant with zero power on clustered trajectory failures; 25–60× headline withdrawn; hysteresis is policy attached to a probability (replay without inference).
Name collisions / Qwen ≠ Archer / what-is-jev rename — PASS. Qwen2.5 / Qwen 3.8 / Qwen/Qwen3.8-27B ≠ Archer; Archer promised_not_landed; Hub archerhume HTTP 401. g0runmezadam/what-is-jev IS tunahansahin897/what-is-jev (id 1378007307), densify §109, not a second census. huncho ≠ gut/hunch siblings; jeval ≠ jevals; ask-jev ≠ mcp_jev; xiaohuaxi ≠ wjdjdakf17 ≠ baekenough.
Quotes theirs vs gloss — PASS. ECE 0.030/0.040 vs instruct 0.302/0.269, equal-width 0.113 vs quantile 0.076, BANKING77 BERT-Base 93.02 marked supervised-not-zero-shot, huncho {enter:0.8, exit:0.6} quoted.
Section ID uniqueness vs merged #31 — PASS after remap. ## 114. Hourly 0843 HIGH; items 289–302 after 0743’s 288; Batch #97.
Diff docs/skill only; SKILL YAML parses; README scannable — PASS. Same 26-file hourly-fold surface (skill + research + CHANGELOG/README/CONTRIBUTING). yaml.safe_load of SKILL frontmatter OK (name: augustus). README 118 lines / 11471 bytes.
TESTING — local PASS:
- python3 .agents/skills/augustus/scripts/evaluate_decisions.py --self-test → self-test ok (Brier, ranking≠calibration, equal-width≠quantile, hysteresis vs 0.7, hop-ECE invariance, cost-optimal threshold).
- python3 .agents/skills/augustus/scripts/uniqueness_gate.py → uniqueness-gate ok (2415-char lock × 21 overlays).
- Pages gate strings present in docs/index.md (TypeSafe Jev Choice/Score/Noul, Install the skill, LICENSE). GitHub Pages workflow not yet observed on this SHA; subscribe and do not merge on red.

Do not merge from this review. Head 6ab65a8. Final IDs: §114 / 289–302 / #97.

…ation does not compose Measurement/judgment fold off main after v0.4.0. Cards: huncho hysteresis, VladUZH Qwen2.5 ECE, sokudan JA encoder, what-is-jev rename densify, ask-jev advisory, jeval binning, deferred-crispification lemmas, screening cutoff, moss-jev recorded run, jev-benchmarks ranking≠calibration, usecases catalog, highlight BYO key, decision-circuits AND-product, xiaohuaxi constructed-case study. Qwen2.5 / Qwen 3.8 / Qwen3.8-27B ≠ Archer. Evaluator and uniqueness gate for the lock. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

The 0843 unreleased dump still said composition items 289–302 / batch #96 because a line-break hid the remap. This fold is batch #97; merged #31 keeps #96. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

24601

Adversarial review + testing gate — PASS on head 011667b (onto main 712223b = #34 Pages layout, which sits on #31+#32+#33).

Prior review was on 6ab65a8 before #34 landed. Rebase onto #34 was clean (README/ecosystem auto-merged; uniqueness lock still one substring).

IDs

notes §114 (0743 keeps §113)
composition 289–302 (0743 keeps 273–288)
findings #97 (0743 keeps #96)
lock end #23–#33; notes.md §114

#31/#32/#33/#34/#30 not reopened or amended.

Checklist (FAIL blocks)

No invented metrics / live REST drift — PASS. Census A 273 · B 302 · C 372 and ECE 0.113 left as theirs. 0843 SemIf 2237★ not mixed with #31’s 2241★.
Soft Noul never hard gate — PASS.
No silent fallback / soundness theater — PASS. Hop-ECE permutation-invariant cannot audit clustered trajectory failures; 25–60× withdrawn; hysteresis is policy attached to a probability.
Name collisions; Qwen ≠ Archer; what-is-jev rename honesty — PASS. Qwen2.5 / Qwen 3.8 / Qwen/Qwen3.8-27B ≠ Archer; Archer promised_not_landed. g0runmezadam/what-is-jev IS tunahansahin897/what-is-jev (id 1378007307), not a second census.
Quotes theirs vs gloss — PASS.
Section ID uniqueness vs merged #31 — PASS (§114 / 289+ / #97).
Diff docs/skill/research fold surface; SKILL YAML parses; README scannable — PASS. 122 lines; #33/#34 map + one 0843 lock line; no wall restore.
TESTING — local PASS:
- evaluate_decisions.py --self-test → self-test ok
- uniqueness_gate.py → uniqueness-gate ok (2415-char lock × 21 overlays + YAML)
- Pages CI on previous SHA 6ab65a8 was green (build success). Re-run on 011667b after #34 rebase; do not merge if that job is red.

Do not merge from this review.

24601 · 2026-09-20T15:33:43Z

Pages CI on head 011667b: build success — https://github.com/24601/Augustus/actions/runs/35519889076/job/106102041171

Local still green: evaluate_decisions.py --self-test and uniqueness_gate.py.

PASS. IDs §114 / items 289–302 / batch #97. Mergeable clean. Not merging from this agent.

Docs/skill only. notes.md §115 / composition 303–308 / findings #98. Quote theirs; invented_signal false. Do not reopen #31/#32/#33/#35. Reserve §114 for open #35 remap. Skip Archer. Do not merge. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

Rebased onto main (0189825 / #35). Merged #35 owns notes §114 / items 289–302 / batch #97. This fold stays §115 / 303–308 / #98. Reorder composition-algebra so 289–302 precede 303–308. Drop open-#35 reservation language. Do not merge. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

Reconstruct PR #37 off latest main after merged #34/#35. Relock live REST 2264★ / zhihz 19★. Keep notes.md §117 / items 315–321 / batch #100; do not steal merged #35 §114 or reserved §115–§116. Extend uniqueness_gate for the 0922 consecutive lock. Docs/skill only. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

* Fold TianyuCodings/NanoJev unified-games-v1 densify Docs/skill only. notes.md §115 / composition 303–308 / findings #98. Quote theirs; invented_signal false. Do not reopen #31/#32/#33/#35. Reserve §114 for open #35 remap. Skip Archer. Do not merge. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com> * Relock NanoJev live REST 1284★ (+1 vs fold 1283) Adversarial review head-check: GitHub TianyuCodings/NanoJev is 1284★. Keep uniqueness lock consecutive across 21 overlays. Quote docs/TYPESAFE_CONTRACT.md (README path), not the repo root 404. Do not merge. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com> * Keep NanoJev densify on §115 after merged #35 Rebased onto main (0189825 / #35). Merged #35 owns notes §114 / items 289–302 / batch #97. This fold stays §115 / 303–308 / #98. Reorder composition-algebra so 289–302 precede 303–308. Drop open-#35 reservation language. Do not merge. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com> * Relock NanoJev live REST 1288★ and Hub likes 58 Adversarial head-check after rebase: GitHub TianyuCodings/NanoJev is 1288★ (+4 vs 1284). Hub C-Tianyu/NanoJev likes 58 (+1 vs 57). Keep the 0915 uniqueness lock consecutive across 21 overlays. Do not merge. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com> * Fix leftover Hub likes 57 next to 1288★ lock Adversarial review on 295e6e2: consecutive 0915 lock already has Hub likes 58, but validation.md prose still said 57. Live REST still 1288★ / likes 58. Do not mutate uniqueness_gate.py. Do not merge. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com> * Relock NanoJev live REST 1289★ (+1 vs 1288) Adversarial head-check after leftover-likes fix: GitHub TianyuCodings/NanoJev is 1289★. Hub likes 58 held. Keep the 0915 uniqueness lock consecutive across 21 overlays. Do not mutate uniqueness_gate.py. Do not merge. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com> --------- Co-authored-by: Cursor Agent <cursoragent@cursor.com> Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

…, does not execute Docs/skill only off latest main after merged #34. IDs: notes.md §116 / items 309–316 / batch #99 (skip #36's §115 / 303–308 / #98 and #35 remap §114 / 289–302 / #97). Quote theirs; invented_signal false. Does not bump 0.4.0. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

…, does not execute (#38) Docs/skill only off latest main after merged #34. IDs: notes.md §116 / items 309–316 / batch #99 (skip #36's §115 / 303–308 / #98 and #35 remap §114 / 289–302 / #97). Quote theirs; invented_signal false. Does not bump 0.4.0. Co-authored-by: Cursor Agent <cursoragent@cursor.com> Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

…CE interleave Rebased onto latest main after merged #36/#38/#37/#40 (9824aa2). Do not reopen or amend #23–#40. Do not push onto open #41. Follow-up off main: ecosystem 0843 cited notes.md §113; README and CHANGELOG Unreleased still held dump walls; the 0843 lock ended at #33. Restore v0.4.0 scannability (dumps live in changelog-hourly). Extend the 0843 uniqueness lock through merged #34 and #35. Hop-ECE self-test covers reverse and even/odd interleave. uniqueness_gate checks Pages strings and refuses CHANGELOG/README dump walls. IDs unchanged: notes.md §114 / composition 289–302 / findings batch #97. Merged #31 still owns §113 / 273–288 / #96. Later folds keep §115–§118. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

…CE interleave (#39) Rebased onto latest main after merged #36/#38/#37/#40 (9824aa2). Do not reopen or amend #23–#40. Do not push onto open #41. Follow-up off main: ecosystem 0843 cited notes.md §113; README and CHANGELOG Unreleased still held dump walls; the 0843 lock ended at #33. Restore v0.4.0 scannability (dumps live in changelog-hourly). Extend the 0843 uniqueness lock through merged #34 and #35. Hop-ECE self-test covers reverse and even/odd interleave. uniqueness_gate checks Pages strings and refuses CHANGELOG/README dump walls. IDs unchanged: notes.md §114 / composition 289–302 / findings batch #97. Merged #31 still owns §113 / 273–288 / #96. Later folds keep §115–§118. Co-authored-by: Cursor Agent <cursoragent@cursor.com> Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

24601 marked this pull request as ready for review September 20, 2026 15:08

24601 mentioned this pull request Sep 20, 2026

Fold TianyuCodings/NanoJev unified-games-v1 densify #36

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cursor Bot force-pushed the cursor/hourly-0843-augustus-fold-220d branch from e60e6d9 to 6ab65a8 Compare September 20, 2026 15:29

24601 commented Sep 20, 2026

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cursoragent and others added 2 commits September 20, 2026 15:31

Fix leftover 0843 batch caption after rebase onto #31

011667b

The 0843 unreleased dump still said composition items 289–302 / batch #96 because a line-break hid the remap. This fold is batch #97; merged #31 keeps #96. Co-authored-by: Basit Mustafa <24601@users.noreply.github.com>

cursor Bot force-pushed the cursor/hourly-0843-augustus-fold-220d branch from 6ab65a8 to 011667b Compare September 20, 2026 15:32

24601 commented Sep 20, 2026

View reviewed changes

24601 mentioned this pull request Sep 20, 2026

Densify SemIf rename + MLX + accuracy ladder #37

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24601 merged commit 0189825 into main Sep 20, 2026
1 check passed

24601 deleted the cursor/hourly-0843-augustus-fold-220d branch September 20, 2026 15:34

This was referenced Sep 20, 2026

Fold HIGH NiazMorshed2007/jcr: capability-tree lookup, does not execute #38

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Post-#35 hygiene: §114 citation, scannable dumps, hop-ECE interleave #39

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24601 mentioned this pull request Sep 20, 2026

Fold HIGH alexwestco/llm-to-jev: conversion assistant on-ramp #40

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24601 mentioned this pull request Sep 20, 2026

Fold hourly 0947 HIGH: jev-as-judge, OneForward candidate_mass, catalogs and RLCD heads #41

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Fold hourly 0843 HIGH: hysteresis, instruct-tuning ECE, calibration does not compose - #35

Fold hourly 0843 HIGH: hysteresis, instruct-tuning ECE, calibration does not compose#35
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IDs (remapped off merged #31)

What landed

Testing (Basit standing order)

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Rebase / ID remap

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IDs

Checklist (FAIL blocks)

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